CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded958568c751bc4ce97086bbb5af34b0621d0c770a9ccfd14820a46a8e305fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $200,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $200,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 32,524$12,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,359.21 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 58c | 29,391$16,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,442.3 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 20,548$7,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,603.06 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…80a3backed Vitality | 61c | 17,575$10,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,854.38 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 41c | 16,224$6,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,591.3 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 16,195$6,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,166.08 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 14,812$9,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,353.43 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 13,549$5,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,506.47 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Vitality | 59c | 11,484$6,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.26 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Vitality | 62c | 8,525$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,244.83 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Vitality | 62c | 6,954$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.52 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…52c4backed Vitality | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Vitality | 62c | 4,153$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.02 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 3,553$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 63c | 3,500$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.46 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality | 63c | 3,492$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.06 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Vitality | 62c | 3,201$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.13 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,986$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,980$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.4 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Vitality | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Vitality | 63c | 2,497$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.89 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Vitality | 63c | 2,100$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 2,000$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Vitality | 63c | 1,690$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.3 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…299cbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,545$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.98 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Vitality | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.99 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 1,448$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Vitality | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Vitality | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Vitality | 61c | 1,195$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.13 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Vitality | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed Vitality | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Vitality | 61c | 999.94$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.98 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 998.97$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.06 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Vitality | 47c | 969.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…fff3backed Vitality | 62c | 967.74$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Vitality | 62c | 868.37$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.98 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbba…c191backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 862.27$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Vitality | 61c | 850$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 809.87$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.29 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Vitality | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 799.69$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.79 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Vitality | 63c | 798.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.41 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Vitality | 63c | 795.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Vitality | 63c | 793.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…11f8backed Vitality | 62c | 749.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Vitality | 63c | 666.67$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.67 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Vitality | 62c | 649.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aaa…040abacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 588.03$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.45 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 570.07$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Vitality | 62c | 567.2$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Vitality | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality | 65c | 563.44$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed Vitality | 36c | 550$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 500.63$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…aea3backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Vitality | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Vitality | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Vitality | 63c | 477.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.08 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Vitality | 47c | 466.7$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.33 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 456.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Vitality | 63c | 435.24$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.87 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 434.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Vitality | 64c | 429.69$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.69 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 415.29$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.19 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed Vitality | 61c | 409.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Vitality | 59c | 409.8$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.37 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Vitality | 63c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.07 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 331.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Vitality | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Vitality | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Vitality | 62c | 319.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3424…8b87backed Vitality | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Vitality | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Vitality | 62c | 299.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4696…e741backed Vitality | 62c | 295.16$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Vitality | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed Vitality | 64c | 254.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…1a48backed Vitality | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 247.44$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…bd26backed Vitality | 63c | 239.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Vitality | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 213 | 62.4%133 W · 80 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe866…1a70backed Vitality | 65c | 238$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Vitality | 62c | 216.13$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.13 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.