CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582dbee0e38c59f0e3cba406a526b18949cb94cc479375dd7a7eb74e446ab743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9368…80a3backed Under | 33c | 30,880$10,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,573 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 68c | 30,000$20,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,294.96 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 7,448$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.63 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 37c | 6,000$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775.98 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Over | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.98 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 32c | 4,444$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.92 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Over | 29c | 4,245$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.05 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 33c | 3,494$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.92 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 35c | 3,152$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.3 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Over | 64c | 2,697$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.05 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Over | 62c | 2,480$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.57 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 62c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Under | 19c | 1,750$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.92 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Over | 65c | 1,555$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.75 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 64c | 1,553$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.81 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Under | 54c | 1,450$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.05 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 32c | 1,365$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.68 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Over | 64c | 1,272$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 65c | 1,078$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 54c | 997.99$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.39 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Under | 36c | 933.93$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.93 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Under | 57c | 873.69$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.92 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Over | 65c | 810.15$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…b994backed Over | 69c | 700$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 33c | 684.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 35c | 610.51$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.83 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…12c1backed Over | 69c | 586.51$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 63c | 543.56$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.69 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 56c | 531.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…f331backed Under | 21c | 510$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…bf3bbacked Over | 67c | 489.55$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…4494backed Over | 65c | 464.08$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Over | 66c | 448.48$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 29c | 426.52$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.41 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Under | 59c | 425.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bca…8a0cbacked Under | 23c | 424.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 409.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.64 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e8…193fbacked Over | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Over | 65c | 307.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 58%141 W · 102 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Under | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…75d0backed Over | 68c | 224.9$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…981dbacked Over | 64c | 210.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 35c | 207.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 53c | 205.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Under | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 188.68$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 55c | 179.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ab…f25bbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 66c | 164.73$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Over | 67c | 163.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.08 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…524abacked Under | 46c | 162.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89b…87a6backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 67.5%79 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…dc58backed Over | 65c | 152.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…b093backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…609fbacked Over | 68c | 147.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Over | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 36c | 144$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe910…57eebacked Over | 78c | 142.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Under | 37c | 134.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…75aebacked Over | 69c | 133.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under | 54c | 132.77$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 58c | 128.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 40c | 124.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Under | 57c | 123.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…d3bfbacked Over | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 30c | 120.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…4c4cbacked Over | 29c | 103.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 36c | 102.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 67c | 101.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9e93backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…688dbacked Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…a097backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…5ff0backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 69c | 98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 97.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…f58fbacked Over | 66c | 93.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Under | 31c | 92.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…bf97backed Over | 67c | 91.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Under | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Under | 58c | 86.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed Under | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over | 47c | 84.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 47c | 84.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd1…8f9fbacked Under | 48c | 83.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…9115backed Under | 34c | 81.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Under | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…df0ebacked Over | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 36c | 79.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 455 | 38.2%174 W · 281 L | -29.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 50c | 78.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…f56bbacked Over | 64c | 76.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.