TailMyPicks
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Market

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9368…80a3backed Under33c30,880$10,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,5734845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Over68c30,000$20,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,294.9621251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c7,448$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.633,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under37c6,000$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,775.9865351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Over65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,249.9833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under32c4,444$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.924156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Over29c4,245$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.056147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under33c3,494$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.9283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under35c3,152$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.353746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Over64c2,697$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.0538546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over62c2,480$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.579954.5%54 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over62c2,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9981544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Under19c1,750$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,421.9234146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Over65c1,555$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.7512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over64c1,553$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.815,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Under54c1,450$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.0525251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under32c1,365$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.681,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab71…2adabacked Over64c1,272$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8145952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over65c1,078$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69719351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under54c997.99$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.391,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ce…3e93backed Under36c933.93$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.932580%20 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under57c873.69$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.9235341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Over65c810.15$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5259146.2%42 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41e8…b994backed Over69c700$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.56240.3%25 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under33c684.88$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.838848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under35c610.51$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8312244.3%54 W · 68 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6840…12c1backed Over69c586.51$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-43.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over63c543.56$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.692,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c531.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.242,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eeb…f331backed Under21c510$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.91855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+83.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked Under57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2152065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0887…bf3bbacked Over67c489.55$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3283345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e81…4494backed Over65c464.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over66c448.48$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29632542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under29c426.52$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.4117431%54 W · 120 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Under59c425.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6715134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…8a0cbacked Under23c424.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under56c409.2$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.642,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Under48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20867651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e8…193fbacked Over64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+57.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Over65c307.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.878459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Over66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024358%141 W · 102 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0d…fb82backed Under37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2713350.4%67 W · 66 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.246058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x630b…75d0backed Over68c224.9$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaed5…981dbacked Over64c210.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510451.9%54 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under35c207.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over53c205.75$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.619441.5%39 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1281,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3375…ba50backed Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308063.8%51 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Under38c197.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.371637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under46c188.68$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.793,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over55c179.94$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.431,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ab…f25bbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over66c164.73$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.842,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Over67c163.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0814145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf350…524abacked Under46c162.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.51633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa89b…87a6backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011767.5%79 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ec2…dc58backed Over65c152.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.961747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3360…b093backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6e42…609fbacked Over68c147.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-29.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Over54c144.44$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Under36c144$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1618352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe910…57eebacked Over78c142.77$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3617043.5%74 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.899445.7%43 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked Under37c134.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.662231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x563d…75aebacked Over69c133.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Under54c132.77$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5930031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under58c128.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1811040.9%45 W · 65 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under40c124.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.51,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7713…daf0backed Under57c123.66$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6313060%78 W · 52 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x008b…d3bfbacked Over29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under30c120.11$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0854148.6%263 W · 278 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb88…4c4cbacked Over29c103.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+316.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under36c102.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6340635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under67c101.98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.689533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1f0…688dbacked Under17c100$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5c…a097backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf232…5ff0backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652540%10 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under69c98$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3237149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c97.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.541,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5874…f58fbacked Over66c93.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Under31c92.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.444736.2%17 W · 30 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba10…bf97backed Over67c91.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3821644.4%96 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked Under39c89.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7426443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed Under58c86.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1315373.2%112 W · 41 L+18.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x6859…2d79backed Under48c85.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.422259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b5c…e5aabacked Over47c84.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.683860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Under47c84.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.772871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebd1…8f9fbacked Under48c83.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.16100%6 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+134.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f0d…9115backed Under34c81.27$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.275771.9%41 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under35c80$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.412856.3%72 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ee…801bbacked Under30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564744.7%21 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Over65c80$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521450%7 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under36c79.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6745538.2%174 W · 281 L-29.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under50c78.06$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8216648.2%80 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…f56bbacked Over64c76.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.