TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0887…bf3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT3345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+250%+$403.28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.38
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.91
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.26
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.38
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Spirit win PGL Astana 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$183
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.72
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$65.43
Will Natus Vincere win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.34
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$276.28
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$328
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$38.13
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$15.68
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$69.5
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$47.5
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$165.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$52.32
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.93
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.95
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.58
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.16
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.52
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.71
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.37
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$41.59
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$49.1
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$53.44
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$64.02
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$44.8
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$216.57
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.58
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$155.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.