TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2of Vitality, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea79…a9ccbacked Vitality77c25,984$20,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,095.4314954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdacb…c4fabacked G221c16,253$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,839.871752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed G248c14,820$7,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,779.3233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality72c13,801$9,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,961.3476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Vitality53c10,265$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.2167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked G233c7,151$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,785.3647147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked G228c6,300$1,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,505.3498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed G223c5,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,85036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked G246c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9816245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed G242c4,332$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,525.6437646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed G229c4,255$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.5115648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf917…bde0backed Vitality54c3,800$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,03312253.3%65 W · 57 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed G246c3,701$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.8172453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Vitality53c3,585$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G245c3,001$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.7371645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Vitality55c2,986$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.777051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked G247c2,617$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.0253545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Vitality54c2,315$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed G231c2,295$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.4465546.9%307 W · 348 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed G229c2,212$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.523336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked G246c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.541758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked G237c2,130$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.361,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Vitality54c2,005$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0851442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Vitality55c1,821$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.5516653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed G243c1,598$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90725248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vitality58c1,543$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.173,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked G243c1,502$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.4284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed G246c1,500$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8151,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed G246c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed G244c1,500$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.2620249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed G247c1,489$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.363056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked G247c1,400$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.9935341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Vitality54c1,310$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.448240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed G247c1,277$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.622252.7%117 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked G248c1,224$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.77040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Vitality58c1,220$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70839157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Vitality56c1,200$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.523851.7%123 W · 115 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked G247c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.991,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed Vitality56c1,135$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.8514848%71 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Vitality55c1,131$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.3446243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Vitality53c1,125$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.278740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked G250c1,014$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5642050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked G249c1,012$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.43778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed G246c1,007$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.8911638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Vitality54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54011249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed G233c1,000$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.9120045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed G222c1,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78020251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Vitality54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Vitality70c923.59$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.512451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Vitality53c899.99$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.999246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality52c888$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.761,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Vitality51c812.89$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41215363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed G245c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G239c800$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4922,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed G246c799.99$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43226743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Vitality71c764.45$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed G223c718.75$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.444261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Vitality67c700$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda6…84c5backed G234c651.79$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.931637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed G247c642.6$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…2f59backed G226c568.15$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.431353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked G229c549.98$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.9894645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked G228c527.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.691,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G250c507.6$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.82,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed Vitality54c506.41$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.0734235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vitality48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a7…96f9backed Vitality58c481.81$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.429047.8%43 W · 47 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf706…20e0backed Vitality74c427.91$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Vitality54c401.28$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4842845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked G252c386.46$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4635466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed G223c380.82$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6722049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Vitality53c377.83$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20123354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Vitality54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.818041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Vitality53c366.04$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19498856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed G250c357.03$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5252750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Vitality54c328.89$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.635839.4%141 W · 217 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Vitality51c325.04$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2638848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked G244c323.58$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9221737.3%81 W · 136 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Vitality53c314.98$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9433237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf66…b444backed G233c309.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.292025%5 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed G247c302.12$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1240639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed G229c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21383543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1621,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Vitality54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16258343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Vitality55c290.91$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed Vitality52c283.15$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.317840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Vitality51c280.9$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.267145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Vitality54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14022444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed G233c250$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.381,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Vitality59c250$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3892…4093backed G229c211.79$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0422650%113 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed G232c211.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3859343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed G249c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0847447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2b…8775backed Vitality55c197.23$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10928556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed G227c191.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3724451.2%125 W · 119 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed Vitality53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed Vitality53c188.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005860.3%35 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Vitality54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Vitality71c178.72$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.893262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.