TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f2b…8775

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
395
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT28556.8%162 W · 123 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 285 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$183.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.05
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$11.38
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.9
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$28.68
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.62
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$107.61
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.45
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 285 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5964.4%38 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.75
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+620.3%+$1,448.31
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.3
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.54
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$23.58
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$51.05
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+86.7%+$30.34
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$17.81
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.04
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.78
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51%+$33.12
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.23
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.56
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$29.44
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$8.56
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$117.76
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$16.11
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$31.63
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$268.89
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$90
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.9
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+218.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$61.4
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+84.7%+$21.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.