TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,683,530
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,187,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,683,530 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 786 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f45…a77abacked Yes25c127,926$32,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,563.3321251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…1fb2backed Yes27c77,467$20,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,728.823447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Yes22c73,690$16,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,050.3622849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes24c64,030$15,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,359.312615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes20c58,427$11,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,500.8950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes20c57,774$11,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,494.1636453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No79c54,923$43,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,288.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6261…4adbbacked Yes27c49,740$13,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,250.852552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Yes19c49,377$9,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,239.0733343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes36c45,034$16,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,205.4710935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes30c42,702$12,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,688.9245646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No75c41,482$31,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,371.968100%8 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes16c40,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.9610361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes21c35,047$7,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,234.623355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No78c32,707$25,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,314.191580%12 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Yes27c30,582$8,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,107.5616949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes19c27,626$5,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,133.178614%12 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Yes27c26,512$7,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,242.4122449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes26c24,813$6,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,355.775833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No79c22,058$17,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,664.6288242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed No63c20,147$12,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,418.4741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4617…c683backed Yes0c20,054$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes30c20,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,099.9876058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Yes25c16,801$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,23025751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes33c15,088$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,979.0481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes17c15,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked Yes16c13,940$2,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.2317540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec5…3193backed Yes37c13,548$5,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,044.28944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+123.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b1…8801backed Yes35c13,187$4,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,615.28650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Yes30c13,143$3,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,911.33540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes23c12,677$2,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,909.62010%2 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91da…1bc1backed No62c12,427$7,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,772.462025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Yes26c11,522$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.814145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No74c11,513$8,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.751573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes14c11,221$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.351,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No75c10,981$8,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.988252.4%43 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Yes15c10,297$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.623948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ef…ddcbbacked Yes41c10,109$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No77c10,047$7,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.4126650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Yes22c10,013$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.2135460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes35c9,503$3,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,32552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes29c9,326$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,740.1910735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2cb…2badbacked No72c9,144$6,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.43354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes25c9,006$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.1444648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed No76c8,848$6,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.5475450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c8,673$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.812,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Yes29c8,077$2,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,366.5440558.8%238 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes21c7,889$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6508138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d38…b49cbacked Yes26c7,721$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000156.7%1 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.30per pick36cpaid-82.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa01a…3aeebacked Yes26c7,271$1,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.583240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes29c6,737$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes28c6,075$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,682.8638037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3984…6c4bbacked Yes28c5,721$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes33c5,573$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.829851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc97d…89d7backed Yes18c5,560$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa782…a9d6backed Yes23c5,546$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Yes20c5,279$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.8211843.2%51 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes19c5,233$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc304…c6bbbacked Yes19c5,170$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3610449%51 W · 53 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x880f…8a04backed Yes20c5,120$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1697…c29dbacked Yes20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No78c4,869$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.95862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes33c4,071$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.0314142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Yes16c4,067$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.5922943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes17c4,000$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6659548.4%46 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Yes26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes32c3,947$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.0113065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes14c3,888$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.839542.1%40 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes24c3,885$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.2829127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No78c3,775$2,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.941675%12 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No79c3,668$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.821782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes25c3,637$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.1185851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes18c3,628$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.9158254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes28c3,552$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.7955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa612…5cc9backed Yes21c3,512$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.791428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes35c3,500$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.8514332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Yes20c3,432$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.4314145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb417…d931backed Yes30c3,404$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.136446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No70c3,273$2,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.1116945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed Yes35c3,214$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.8733950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Yes16c3,100$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49616853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa92e…1160backed Yes22c3,047$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.9620732.4%67 W · 140 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa019…f444backed Yes7c3,013$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.99643.8%42 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf53…c98fbacked Yes35c3,000$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd547…f7a8backed Yes17c3,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Yes18c3,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb600…4440backed Yes24c3,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73016546.1%76 W · 89 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Yes29c2,882$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.428046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes27c2,873$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.523925.6%10 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes9c2,866$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7614820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes35c2,847$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf7…294abacked Yes36c2,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.868536.5%31 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Yes35c2,654$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.6858745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Yes38c2,616$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No74c2,549$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.751090%9 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+48.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x960c…75d9backed No68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Yes18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b25…d739backed Yes19c2,496$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+109.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7891…c020backed Yes23c2,476$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.971764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.