TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$921,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $921,990 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf49c…9786backed Yes2c215,707$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.262615.4%4 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes1c74,010$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.4281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Yes2c28,285$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.2837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes2c27,664$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.911547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7040…81fabacked Yes1c22,220$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.458614%12 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91da…1bc1backed Yes2c17,758$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.392025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes1c16,521$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.561,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes3c15,578$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes1c15,081$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2414820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes2c14,416$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.6137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes2c13,934$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.786726.9%18 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes1c13,727$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes2c13,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23019252.1%100 W · 92 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Yes2c12,781$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7785851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes2c12,306$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1138037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c11,881$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.9814332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c10,920$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3519423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Yes2c10,782$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803020%6 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fa…f946backed Yes2c10,151$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.552425%6 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c8,652$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.58700%0 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1728…08f4backed Yes1c8,396$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.43323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Yes1c8,020$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.269037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Yes1c8,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb2…4494backed Yes2c7,937$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c7,814$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.161,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Yes1c7,563$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes1c7,491$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7229127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6771…5ce3backed Yes2c7,000$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d66…7799backed Yes2c6,910$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.532147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes2c6,856$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.66735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…2ec5backed Yes1c6,733$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.315414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd758…7af8backed Yes1c6,673$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606931.9%22 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…c9cabacked Yes1c6,273$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.381546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e8…b994backed Yes3c6,106$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.76240.3%25 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes2c5,524$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0715743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f46…3950backed Yes2c4,910$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fff…8c1fbacked Yes1c4,422$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.03200%0 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Yes1c4,274$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2918846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb603…c701backed Yes2c4,151$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.24445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Yes2c4,126$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b2f…16c4backed Yes1c4,000$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…24cdbacked Yes1c3,890$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes2c3,737$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.538549.4%42 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x185a…5104backed Yes2c3,648$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.156714.9%10 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes2c3,582$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.83240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x165e…f5aabacked Yes1c3,399$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.582352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb1a3…ea15backed Yes2c3,317$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.722842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…96b7backed Yes2c3,225$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Yes2c3,218$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.581414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes2c3,072$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0925143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Yes2c3,040$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5415930.8%49 W · 110 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes3c2,993$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0520249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Yes3c2,956$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1329839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes2c2,905$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.710735.5%38 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf36…3d96backed Yes1c2,887$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.041735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b9…5221backed Yes2c2,590$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.691250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Yes3c2,493$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3460838.2%232 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f2c…e2fdbacked Yes1c2,475$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb3f…cd22backed Yes2c2,396$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.252218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-68.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf19e…6ee8backed Yes1c2,268$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.561747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa262…997fbacked Yes1c2,227$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.452941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x385b…b81dbacked Yes1c2,143$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x884b…661cbacked Yes1c2,131$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.759429.8%28 W · 66 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes2c2,078$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5627530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed Yes2c2,076$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Yes2c2,064$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.512041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Yes2c2,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3831933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…bb94backed Yes2c1,983$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.711526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked Yes1c1,961$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4719022.6%43 W · 147 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6727…2ac7backed Yes2c1,936$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.924223.8%10 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c36…e462backed Yes2c1,932$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5223656.4%133 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Yes2c1,930$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.423234.9%81 W · 151 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Yes1c1,699$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5313435.8%48 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe901…d4cfbacked Yes2c1,696$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.03147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-86.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes2c1,649$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6450%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b65…2cf8backed Yes1c1,616$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.933060%18 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7fe…24e5backed Yes1c1,615$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.118326.5%22 W · 61 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e69…73a3backed Yes1c1,576$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1488…c5f5backed Yes1c1,565$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1470%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb30…97e8backed Yes2c1,500$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52512%3 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfafc…c7a2backed Yes2c1,490$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.94226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853b…475bbacked Yes2c1,436$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9796…8718backed Yes1c1,429$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2080%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x02d7…0c39backed Yes1c1,397$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5914533.1%48 W · 97 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x792b…fb71backed Yes2c1,389$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252552%13 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Yes1c1,330$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Yes2c1,176$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2076546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c1,100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa63f…4f7bbacked Yes2c1,077$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.462920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-53.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed0b…c5f3backed Yes2c1,072$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes2c1,054$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2160%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes2c1,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1930748.9%150 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed Yes2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb07…2e36backed Yes2c999.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+60.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Yes3c999.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a3…1d73backed Yes11c948.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes1c940.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.05170%0 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4859…0bb1backed Yes2c871.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49e1…7bf6backed Yes1c814$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6acb…3cd3backed Yes1c809.98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.539454.3%51 W · 43 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.