TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9796…8718

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: WNBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT6535.4%23 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Madison Keys be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Jakub Menšík be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.82
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$223.98
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dartbacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.19
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$231.18
Wimbledon ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.23
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$105.17
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Victoria Mboko be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Jointbacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.52
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$59.17
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.41
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$121.67
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$73.79
Birmingham: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$68.73
Birmingham: Tristan Schoolkate vs Arthur Ferybacked Tristan Schoolkate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.92
Prostejov: Tristan Boyer vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$390.76
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$186.3
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$203.1
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$127
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$109.22
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$175
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$95.77
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$118.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$139.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.