TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connell

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elias Ymerof Elias Ymer, Christopher O'Connell
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,632

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Christopher O'Connell42c7,570$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.668,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Christopher O'Connell55c5,273$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Elias Ymer46c3,209$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.829355.9%52 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Elias Ymer45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Elias Ymer45c1,730$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.9457842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Elias Ymer43c1,716$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.441,68150%841 W · 840 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Elias Ymer66c1,273$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.74,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb063…fa55backed Christopher O'Connell58c1,207$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Christopher O'Connell27c1,168$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31515261.2%93 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Elias Ymer34c1,129$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.331,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Elias Ymer34c989.85$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.739,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Elias Ymer49c974.65$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.661,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Elias Ymer54c955.99$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.3458639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked Elias Ymer45c920.15$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.085255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Christopher O'Connell28c905.45$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.18,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Christopher O'Connell45c859.52$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.163,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Christopher O'Connell55c818.17$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Christopher O'Connell54c760.03$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.663,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Elias Ymer45c730$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.51,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Elias Ymer42c729.7$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.41,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Christopher O'Connell7c697.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.177,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Christopher O'Connell48c660.55$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.2611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Christopher O'Connell26c642.52$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.121,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Elias Ymer62c564.66$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.571233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Christopher O'Connell56c526.32$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.741,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed Elias Ymer46c515.7$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.740554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Elias Ymer34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Christopher O'Connell55c490.85$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.971,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Christopher O'Connell43c469.05$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.953,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Christopher O'Connell24c451.05$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.444,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Christopher O'Connell49c435.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.195,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Christopher O'Connell67c386.13$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.711,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Christopher O'Connell3c345.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Christopher O'Connell27c342.84$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.62,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Elias Ymer57c313$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.631,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Elias Ymer41c297.76$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6836852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Christopher O'Connell53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509453.2%50 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Elias Ymer46c268.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.521,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Elias Ymer45c266.66$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.662,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Elias Ymer46c265.22$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2219343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Christopher O'Connell34c257.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.813928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Elias Ymer46c253.83$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0750442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Elias Ymer66c249.46$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1499244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Christopher O'Connell39c244.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1943647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Christopher O'Connell54c236.07$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1365346.4%303 W · 350 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Christopher O'Connell55c224.42$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.436051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Elias Ymer47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.779260.9%56 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Elias Ymer48c210.51$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.331,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Elias Ymer46c206.52$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5264350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c5…17e8backed Elias Ymer46c205.89$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.189638.5%37 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Christopher O'Connell58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11634154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Elias Ymer31c186.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.13,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Elias Ymer46c185.75$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.91,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Elias Ymer42c180$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.423247%109 W · 123 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Christopher O'Connell57c176.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.881,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Christopher O'Connell12c176.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.773208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Elias Ymer38c174.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.497722.1%17 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Christopher O'Connell61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Elias Ymer30c158.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0465942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Christopher O'Connell27c156.69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.883737.8%14 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26ca…da6abacked Christopher O'Connell55c155.44$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.828158%47 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elias Ymer57c154.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Elias Ymer32c150.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1131436.9%116 W · 198 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Elias Ymer47c149.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.499545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Christopher O'Connell68c147.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Elias Ymer41c147.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6492138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Elias Ymer44c145$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3585637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Christopher O'Connell69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015752.2%82 W · 75 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Christopher O'Connell40c144.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.218,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Elias Ymer46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4324951.4%128 W · 121 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Elias Ymer46c129.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1651339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9796…8718backed Elias Ymer41c124.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.796535.4%23 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Christopher O'Connell40c124.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9666834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Elias Ymer62c116.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.345156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Elias Ymer42c115.73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.122,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1351…178bbacked Elias Ymer46c108.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8716746.7%78 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Christopher O'Connell33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519253.1%102 W · 90 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Elias Ymer64c103.5$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.571,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Christopher O'Connell10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.111,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Christopher O'Connell54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5458745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…925dbacked Elias Ymer77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Elias Ymer43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Christopher O'Connell47c99.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.311,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Christopher O'Connell55c99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4596755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa233…ee7ebacked Christopher O'Connell35c98.08$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.333237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Christopher O'Connell68c95.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6578350.3%394 W · 389 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Christopher O'Connell53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9937238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf7…d90fbacked Christopher O'Connell56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Christopher O'Connell51c88.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.716,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Elias Ymer44c86.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.682,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbea5…2cf0backed Elias Ymer29c85.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.782100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+173.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Christopher O'Connell62c82.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.041,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Elias Ymer37c81.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.46,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb740…2ec1backed Christopher O'Connell54c72.22$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3935157%200 W · 151 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Elias Ymer32c71.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.882,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Elias Ymer42c68.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.787,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b53…1fe3backed Elias Ymer63c63.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.112560.8%76 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Elias Ymer47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Christopher O'Connell24c62.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9956744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Elias Ymer33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6123551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.