TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbea5…2cf0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
308
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT25358.9%149 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 253 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.81
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$9.23
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$24.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$26.09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.87
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.09
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.89
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.32
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.69
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.26
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$25.83
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.29
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.04
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$22.44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
Showing 25 of 253 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or below on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$26.72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$18.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$14.52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.57
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$19.77
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$69.85
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.89
Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.36
Will Michele Sodano win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$33.17
Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.86
All 25 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-80.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+173.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Birmingham: Elias Ymer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Elias Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+243.2%+$60.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$26.55
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$40.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$3.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Libertybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.