Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d5b99c10124cd3bf327a689cbd0d05aa750b00fb32d48375abc7ab6d2f188f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,155
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,155 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x85df…fb48backed No	5c	2,189$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bdd…0872backed No	77c	1,046$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf73f…ee53backed Yes	15c	650.73$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.13	120	40.8%49 W · 71 L	+10.2wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	19c	613.67$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.8	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	23c	566.57$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$433.85	463	30.2%140 W · 323 L	-20.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8383…cb59backed No	27c	560.69$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.33	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…000bbacked Yes	24c	499.99$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.99	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2612…5289backed No	62c	435.04$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.42	218	44%96 W · 122 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed Yes	19c	381.28$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.55	327	48.6%159 W · 168 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	46c	379.62$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.6	218	54.6%119 W · 99 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c63…93d4backed Yes	24c	325.25$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.38	441	38.1%168 W · 273 L	+27.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes	73c	306.75$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.82	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	57c	281$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.63	399	52.4%209 W · 190 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes	11c	280.82$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.63	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+4.8wins	+0.12per pick	27cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	64c	280$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.14	352	58%204 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…44f0backed Yes	23c	256.72$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.67	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes	43c	213.65$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.77	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa054…a95dbacked Yes	68c	209$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.61	59	61%36 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…405abacked No	74c	206.94$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.18	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc3…3472backed No	73c	205.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.08	120	55%66 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed22…6450backed No	77c	199.99$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.99	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes	24c	195.36$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.69	406	48.8%198 W · 208 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	25c	186.14$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.28	323	54.2%175 W · 148 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…bbaabacked Yes	41c	176.42$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.69	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes	21c	168.06$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.77	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes	30c	152.99$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.22	63	30.2%19 W · 44 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-16%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	76c	144.25$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.63	132	43.9%58 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	20c	142.28$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.28	145	21.4%31 W · 114 L	-7.4wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	64c	141.73$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.48	394	14%55 W · 339 L	-71.9wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x802d…d59abacked Yes	24c	134$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.9	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbd…a959backed Yes	21c	132.68$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.4	392	31.9%125 W · 267 L	+22.5wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+24%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff74…5de4backed Yes	26c	131.65$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.81	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1fb…78d1backed No	76c	131.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33e8…dc93backed Yes	22c	130.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.44	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+61.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	52c	126.11$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.01	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes	22c	125$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.75	100	30%30 W · 70 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No	77c	122.8$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.26	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe9…56d9backed No	77c	120$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.03	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…d4dabacked No	70c	119.99$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.49	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	75cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4add…6fe5backed Yes	29c	114.54$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.56	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1e…b5f4backed No	77c	113.74$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.58	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes	28c	113.49$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.48	186	38.2%71 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	47c	108.19$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.05	444	28.8%128 W · 316 L	-67.6wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	67c	103$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.91	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes	31c	101.75$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf875…814dbacked Yes	32c	100$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3e…5337backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	110	45.5%50 W · 60 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c33…38c9backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes	21c	97.49$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.14	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea5…2cf0backed No	79c	95.42$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dc8…7b89backed No	74c	94.53$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes	80c	93.36$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.11	20	60%12 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	71cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9676…4374backed Yes	22c	90.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+189.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d82…9e66backed Yes	65c	90.87$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.24	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed No	27c	90.2$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.76	150	56.7%85 W · 65 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc1…647abacked Yes	30c	90$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…187dbacked No	57c	88.32$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.78	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x376c…41acbacked Yes	23c	87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+61.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6300…41adbacked Yes	73c	81.73$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.73	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebe…2c1dbacked No	67c	80$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2be…ff33backed Yes	29c	80$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.8	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	75c	79.72$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.93	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec3d…0a55backed Yes	26c	78.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.22	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f9…8055backed Yes	21c	75.76$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.78	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes	30c	74.98$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.78	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6871…7cb8backed Yes	44c	73.27$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.03	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…dacdbacked Yes	64c	68.1$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.83	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+6.8wins	+0.24per pick	33cpaid	+106.9%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc3fa…4531backed Yes	24c	66.32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.27	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5647…de1dbacked Yes	30c	65.88$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.88	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	67c	61.3$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	155	58.7%91 W · 64 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes	65c	61.28$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.28	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	25c	60.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.98	146	56.2%82 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4245…a467backed Yes	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	167	38.3%64 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes	27c	60$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	169	34.9%59 W · 110 L	+11.4wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35c4…d144backed No	36c	59.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.74	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+5.4wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	76c	59.78$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.42	234	59.8%140 W · 94 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7db…959bbacked Yes	27c	56.52$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.52	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes	36c	55.66$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.79	167	55.1%92 W · 75 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	76c	53.8$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.65	274	38.3%105 W · 169 L	-32.3wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	76c	51$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.76	200	65%130 W · 70 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	70c	50.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.56	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes	29c	50.92$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.4	122	38.5%47 W · 75 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6293…675fbacked No	79c	50.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde8a…a3fcbacked No	73c	50.85$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.91	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a68…edd3backed Yes	67c	50$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.55	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.18per pick	54cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes	26c	50$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5867…cc97backed Yes	24c	50$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.34per pick	32cpaid	+114.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b40…ced4backed Yes	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	63	46%29 W · 34 L	+6.1wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5faf…7217backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c2…f88bbacked Yes	61c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfa8c…9169backed Yes	52c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.63	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00f…3e60backed Yes	40c	48.56$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.22	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No	44c	48.25$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.42	144	45.8%66 W · 78 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes	56c	46.06$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.21	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6753…b37dbacked Yes	28c	45.81$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.91	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae34…f8bcbacked No	75c	45.22$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4c…3d58backed Yes	57c	45$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.35	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe422…4d64backed No	61c	45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No	45c	42.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.01	159	54.1%86 W · 73 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	25c	41.61$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.39	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?this page
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or below on June 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 22?No won
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 22?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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