Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b3f6c46f46f50a564f389460408991890768a3fb21e8741b828000a952a691e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 75c | 1,046$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.27 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 11c | 953.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.86 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 19c | 645.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.12 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 75c | 515.94$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.6 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 17c | 452.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.63 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 14c | 431.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.87 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed Yes | 23c | 406.3$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…b6a8backed Yes | 16c | 399.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.58 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 393.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1,567 | 37.2%583 W · 984 L | +243.6wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 15c | 363.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.66 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…c038backed Yes | 21c | 359.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.66 | 439 | 32.8%144 W · 295 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 53c | 350.74$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 16c | 344.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.51 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…cac7backed Yes | 29c | 339.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.07 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 17c | 321.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.12 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 72c | 316.43$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked Yes | 28c | 258.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba5…c168backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 8c | 242.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.81 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 71c | 207.04$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 21c | 205.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.34 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 73c | 195.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.21 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 180.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 60c | 177.45$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 80c | 158.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.35 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 76c | 156.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 79c | 150.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 145$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 18c | 141.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.04 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…895bbacked Yes | 11c | 131.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 71c | 129.66$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed No | 15c | 126.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked Yes | 17c | 122.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 77c | 121.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 21c | 119.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 76c | 115.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Yes | 23c | 109.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 49c | 107.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 77c | 107$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ec…082cbacked Yes | 24c | 106.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 24c | 104.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 103.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 15c | 100.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 78c | 99.52$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5888…1109backed Yes | 16c | 91.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 22c | 91.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 76c | 88.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 19c | 86.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 17c | 84.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…1cbfbacked Yes | 18c | 84.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 19c | 78.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 129 | 27.1%35 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 16c | 76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 17c | 74.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 22c | 74.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 982 | 36.7%360 W · 622 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 16c | 66.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 21c | 65.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 20c | 65.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e4babacked Yes | 23c | 64.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 66c | 62.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 70c | 60.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 41c | 55.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…63a4backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 115 | 25.2%29 W · 86 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 48c | 53.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 408 | 62.3%254 W · 154 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 80c | 48.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 78c | 37.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 78c | 37.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…001ebacked Yes | 60c | 36.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e6…beb0backed No | 76c | 27.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed No | 71c | 24.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 183 | 28.4%52 W · 131 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 78c | 23.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 493 | 59%291 W · 202 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 21.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,088 | 55.5%604 W · 484 L | -27.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…005cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…c8edbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 197 | 69.5%137 W · 60 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…67abbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…ef83backed No | 73c | 18.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…c6f3backed No | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.