TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7eec…c8ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst IPO at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT19769.5%137 W · 60 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 197 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$7.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.3
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+86.3%+$13.9
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$5.34
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$8.46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$6.14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$5.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$7.83
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$8.67
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$7.65
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$7.2
Showing 25 of 197 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$5.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$6.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$16.19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.58
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$9.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$4.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$11.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.