F1 · resolved market
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae6313f3afcc21b392ac1c0bd43060cb7b39a18aa086ac66936e82a669c1360c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 22,518$17,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.7 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Yes | 23c | 16,270$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 14c | 7,459$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.35 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…fda1backed Yes | 8c | 1,986$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…036bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,270$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 12c | 924.38$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…c995backed Yes | 8c | 770$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 669.26$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 75c | 654.47$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 26c | 599.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 25c | 557.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 6c | 539.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 530.89$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…40abbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 5c | 431.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 424.81$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…83b0backed Yes | 29c | 345.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…c2cfbacked Yes | 6c | 312.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db2…cc8cbacked Yes | 19c | 312.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf890…7fe6backed Yes | 9c | 216.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed Yes | 12c | 210$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…d88cbacked Yes | 21c | 182.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 74c | 178.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 79c | 151.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…e91ebacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 32c | 125.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…a829backed Yes | 17c | 110.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed Yes | 22c | 98.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 75c | 96.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 77c | 95.47$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…acf8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 31c | 76.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 14c | 76.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311d…86e5backed Yes | 28c | 72.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 28c | 72.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…7133backed Yes | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfd…a1dbbacked Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 22c | 62.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…7aefbacked Yes | 25c | 60.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…2072backed No | 72c | 56.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 73c | 53.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…43b9backed Yes | 28c | 53.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd201…cf12backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…7a8bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…b5b1backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…8b39backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…8739backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +129.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 72c | 29.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b35…70d9backed No | 79c | 25.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 74c | 21.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…c8edbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.