F1 · resolved market
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1580c1249404f5b91754300720be0c1e857da46a5aad422de71150b3797ebec6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked No | 1c | 4,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 36c | 4,091$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 3,858$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809.14 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 63c | 2,948$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.61 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 28c | 2,740$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.93 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked No | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.33 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 38c | 1,039$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.11 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 996.07$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.3 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 971.12$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.04 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 35c | 971.01$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 72c | 959.55$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 11c | 907.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.98 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…d542backed Yes | 35c | 857.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 11c | 702.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.64 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 36c | 547.88$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 63c | 544.11$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.48 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 528.19$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.79 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…7e61backed No | 2c | 509.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…036bbacked No | 67c | 499.98$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.99 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 449.06$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 34c | 410$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.68 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 36c | 346$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.54 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes | 21c | 306.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Yes | 39c | 306.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…2128backed Yes | 34c | 294.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…0335backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 11c | 272.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Yes | 41c | 270.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f6…2685backed Yes | 9c | 226.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +276.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 73c | 213.28$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 210.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…c6c7backed Yes | 13c | 206$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 63c | 191.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d4…28ebbacked Yes | 35c | 186.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…fda1backed Yes | 15c | 176$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 35c | 172.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.78 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 67c | 170.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 15c | 165$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +173.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf890…7fe6backed Yes | 21c | 154.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…7dd0backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 63c | 152$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 67c | 151.16$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 33c | 150.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed Yes | 12c | 137.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb9…cd08backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +554.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…779cbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 35c | 116$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 39c | 111$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 46c | 108.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 25c | 101.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +305.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 25c | 101.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626e…fa46backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…ee3bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed No | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…c34ebacked Yes | 35c | 71.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 68.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 73c | 63.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…aa1ebacked Yes | 34c | 61.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 56.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…f7a7backed Yes | 27c | 56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b79…4acbbacked No | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ba…8619backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e18…7bb9backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe826…adb7backed Yes | 38c | 44.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Yes | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…e1f9backed Yes | 36c | 41.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b79…a404backed Yes | 34c | 32.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e4…013dbacked No | 79c | 31.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 74c | 21.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.