TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a24…a0fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
234
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT13838.4%53 W · 85 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.53
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Alexandra Ealabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$103.31
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.93
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+147.1%+$147.15
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.55
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$127.19
HSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Leheckabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$184.98
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)backed Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Grass Court Championships: Linda Noskova vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.04
Halle Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$192.46
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$135
Nottingham Open: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Emma Navarrobacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.98
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.5
Halle Open: Zizou Bergs vs Taylor Fritzbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$174.98
HSBC Championships: Kamil Majchrzak vs Jiri Leheckabacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.8%+$993.34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.5
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.5
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$47.93
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$53.89
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Scotland vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
United States vs. Australia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.64
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$130
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$102.5
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.25
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$200.87
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+177.7%+$416.68
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$114.99
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$260
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$122.5
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.63
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$46.11
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$127.5
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.49
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.49
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$120
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$115
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+149.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+85.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$68.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.