TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norwayof Czechia, Norway
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,776 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Czechia51c16,229$8,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,304.6641842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Norway33c8,390$2,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,657.5627044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Czechia75c5,502$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Norway23c4,946$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,808.661369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+95%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Norway58c3,922$2,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.042236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Norway25c2,048$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,537.6718136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Norway56c1,804$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.4523642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Czechia76c1,606$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.5333950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Norway59c1,138$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.847642.1%32 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Norway55c996.52$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.132263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Czechia50c928.02$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.857533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Norway57c912.35$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.311936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norway65c840.79$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.4199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Norway8c785.48$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.644628.3%13 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Czechia75c701$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0310066%66 W · 34 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e0d…03c0backed Czechia45c687.16$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-38.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Norway77c669.08$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.764254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Czechia77c661.56$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.861241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Norway23c600$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4623545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+48.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Norway69c525.22$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.331,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Norway20c436.06$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.46437.5%24 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Czechia76c404.58$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.468043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Czechia74c400$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2966931.9%22 W · 47 L-8.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Czechia75c388.66$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.374438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Czechia74c382.5$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.0514551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Czechia74c361.89$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Czechia42c313.79$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.7919033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a24…a0fdbacked Norway25c300$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2265100%5 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+149.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Norway57c296.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Czechia43c284.06$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.171656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Norway55c276.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.233259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Czechia77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Czechia76c243.04$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.212969%20 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+71.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Norway63c233.43$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4832353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x173d…8091backed Czechia53c212.29$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ab…723dbacked Czechia77c210$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Norway62c209.2$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Czechia48c205.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.482147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe8…e0f2backed Czechia75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x115e…5019backed Czechia69c200$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ed…604cbacked Czechia41c188.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe635…b1a2backed Norway33c182.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Czechia42c170.13$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.741050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7786…8723backed Norway23c156.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a98…d5f8backed Czechia34c155.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Norway32c153.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5849747.9%238 W · 259 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Norway24c153.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.117038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Norway24c145.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.343327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x349b…382dbacked Norway24c138.68$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+141.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Czechia53c130.19$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692528%7 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-48.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe89a…928abacked Norway24c130$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e80…c709backed Czechia39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Czechia80c125.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Czechia80c125.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024259.1%143 W · 99 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a88…4e57backed Czechia53c122.64$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f5…9093backed Czechia41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508638.4%33 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Norway66c118.7$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.771,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Norway26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+107.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Czechia77c114.89$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.463253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Czechia76c114.81$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6627947.3%132 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa95c…1b63backed Czechia79c101.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Norway55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c3…0964backed Czechia20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc506…4c2dbacked Norway24c99.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.98425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Norway25c99.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x654a…c304backed Czechia42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Norway16c93.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x929d…7ee3backed Czechia47c93.09$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-54.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1ab…089ebacked Czechia79c92.15$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba2e…9811backed Czechia58c86.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dda…5cbbbacked Czechia17c86.62$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9a…1609backed Norway64c84.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Norway24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+76%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed Czechia40c82.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3245069.3%312 W · 138 L+51.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Czechia76c82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.278150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffda…4455backed Czechia77c80.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52c1…1084backed Czechia40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Norway51c78.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.06560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913f…d2ebbacked Czechia77c76.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Czechia42c76.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…614abacked Norway13c75.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked Norway26c74.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14c8…c192backed Norway52c71.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.15944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Norway58c69.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Czechia76c62.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2320059.5%119 W · 81 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Czechia50c61.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.055655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…377bbacked Czechia42c61.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.662560%15 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Norway59c61.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.243063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f83…3bfabacked Czechia77c59.74$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x596b…e891backed Czechia53c55.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Czechia53c54.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5132…61a7backed Norway24c54.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.171338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Czechia75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402277.3%17 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c9…ca41backed Norway50c50.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.251050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eef…bd6bbacked Czechia47c48.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Czechia76c46.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7714855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…f67dbacked Norway65c46.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.284027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…b022backed Norway24c45.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+100.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Czechia52c44.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.132965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaca1…a5f0backed Czechia45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick24cpaid-72.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.