TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc48…04ed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$157.07
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+258.1%+$307.15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$16.5
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$196.33
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$63.84
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Iran strike Syria in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+213.3%+$211.17
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.89
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.64
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+224.9%+$242.12
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+45%+$67.71
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.26
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$46.89
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vicenza: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Samuele Pieribacked Samuele Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Little Rock: Johannus Monday vs Braden Shickbacked Braden Shick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
ITF Wichita: Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhovabacked Maria Sholokhova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.56
Roland Garros WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Jessica Pegulabacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+1,005.1%+$743.75
Little Rock: Hiroki Moriya vs Timo Legoutbacked Hiroki Moriya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.05
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.72
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Miami Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Marina Stakusicbacked Marina Stakusic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Miami Open, Qualification: Cristian Garin vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$167.31
Miami Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Monika Ekstrandbacked Monika Ekstrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.65
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.11
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$75.09
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-76.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+35.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Czechia vs. Norwaybacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$38.06
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$76.87
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$129.69
Kings vs. Islanders: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.24
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+125.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.43
Will XRP reach $2.40 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+124.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+124.9%+$62.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.