TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,236 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No73c42,234$30,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,762.7484850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c12,527$6,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,588.072,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c10,903$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,959.251,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes24c9,727$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,404.673231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes30c8,000$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,574.72728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c7,280$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,315.963,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c6,252$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,564.191950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c6,140$1,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes27c4,990$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.6215947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes28c4,254$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.1352243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No71c3,928$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,788.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Yes27c2,744$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.281478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes28c2,666$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,915.781450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d6…bdf8backed Yes24c2,534$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+63.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c2,178$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.3325157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes27c1,800$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31433349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes33c1,212$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.121353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4a…2881backed Yes28c1,130$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes22c1,039$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.8876941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Yes28c1,017$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.934100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+137.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3448…a954backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7302733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes27c1,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73014042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb97…40dbbacked Yes23c974.96$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.725100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+218%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes32c848.47$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.961225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes25c775.9$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.196033.3%20 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.292050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No12c700$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes64c690.99$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.8479532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.671625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked No22c572.54$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.214136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes73c562.89$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.197237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdc…a9afbacked Yes71c537.9$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes22c501.84$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.1121835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes24c488.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.089222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No73c416.87$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.322755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.672948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…6507backed Yes27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes43c375.33$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.212345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c365.29$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6655545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c8…68f0backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes25c355.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.714151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+46.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes27c347.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.252245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c324.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4344952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c311.92$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.962,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2166331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes77c263.01$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.235158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes27c240.74$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.748130.9%25 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No75c233.42$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1814963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes27c229.63$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.637135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Yes23c223.65$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+236.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c203.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0313666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1542458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf60…79c5backed Yes23c195.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.831650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes28c193.79$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.223432.4%11 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa92…15f4backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.19933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes27c185.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.111643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes50c182.79$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.991942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c180$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.220048%96 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.578030%24 W · 56 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Yes73c172.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.29333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-54.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes28c140.96$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.117354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes28c135.71$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.711127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No50c134.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8933522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No72c133.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.947851.3%40 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes32c131.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+80.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Yes28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0418…9bd3backed Yes20c124.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.52825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes24c110.03$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.621973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed Yes23c106.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes21c106$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7435944.8%161 W · 198 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes26c101.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3221243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f6…4568backed Yes28c100.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0435…906bbacked Yes33c100.27$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.18250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725676.8%43 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7213337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…09fcbacked Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72450%2 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c54…489fbacked Yes23c99.74$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.81540%6 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16f9…6e9fbacked Yes23c96.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.95520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc64…fc2bbacked Yes24c95.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes27c94.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8817956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes62c92.92$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf949…5643backed Yes30c90.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.52944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d60…8cc1backed Yes28c89.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.29333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes74c87.14$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.66875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x434d…fba4backed Yes27c86.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.363655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6612…16f2backed Yes78c86.21$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes23c82.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.612030%6 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes28c82.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.141844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe930…919cbacked No73c81.88$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.878344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605034%17 W · 33 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+48.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc48…04edbacked Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+125.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No38c78.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9837750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eca…969abacked Yes32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.13540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x342b…d208backed Yes21c75.81$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Yes27c75.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.122352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Yes28c73.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.772568%17 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.28per pick40cpaid+68%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.