TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5fe2…e1ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+144%+$93.62
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$65
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Newcastle United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$102.16
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$70
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+356.6%+$89.16
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+215.9%+$125.25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Trae Young: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$44.18
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Pisa SC vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$59.73
Will PSV win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.