TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,398 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Under44c15,255$6,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,712.252040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c5,878$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,132.656,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over57c4,388$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,898.5850644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c3,788$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.7751750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5409272.8%67 W · 25 L+20.5wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x17ff…d7afbacked Over60c2,835$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.161118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick42cpaid-47%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10013662.5%85 W · 51 L+14.3wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Under44c1,655$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over21c1,396$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.084924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c1,350$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.314,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over55c1,288$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.536654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over28c1,249$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.1512136.4%44 W · 77 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.5410939.4%43 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over72c590.13$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.11553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over31c552.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.9428633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Over23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.786541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over41c425.6$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7823435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.144555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf6…cf2abacked Over59c309.51$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over34c299.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9910533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3542…24f0backed Under79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under76c245.59$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.711,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under78c238.98$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.411,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over56c225$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9929259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcaa3…ef55backed Over58c187.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x092e…c685backed Over55c181.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over52c173.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.394656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over58c172.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4132345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c164.48$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.441,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over55c150.82$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.372,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6619145%86 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611866.1%78 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9332164.5%207 W · 114 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked Under54c133.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008858%51 W · 37 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506762.7%42 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5759645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.58516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over56c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.627354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe2…e1eebacked Over53c81.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.13540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over56c75$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.455254.5%301 W · 251 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Over58c65.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.363151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Over55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.647630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.426158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.430554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.438358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Under53c58.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316036.7%22 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…10c3backed Under62c53.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.34837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under79c52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0814258.5%83 W · 59 L+12.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.858263.4%52 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Over35c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.54136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2237958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe44b…2e2bbacked Over39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over56c49.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7626058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under41c42.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4696443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under51c41.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0449753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Over47c39.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.241546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under61c39.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.222,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bf…3d48backed Under44c37.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9f…e763backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7116544.2%73 W · 92 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over46c32.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6119133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf906…b98ebacked Under79c31.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.366031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.222958.1%133 W · 96 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under79c25.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123658.1%137 W · 99 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126959.9%161 W · 108 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Under62c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.362326.1%6 W · 17 L-6.5wins-0.28per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Under64c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over58c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8212854.7%70 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd600…b431backed Under53c20.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a2…d44dbacked Under79c16.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x289c…79bcbacked Under65c16.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Under72c15.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21d3…6c27backed Under79c13.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.