Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec8843e7cd575acb1b483eeaafd965201003045fb23d44f6098da03a299719c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southampton FCof Coventry City FC, Southampton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Southampton FC | 72c | 18,662$13,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.83 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Coventry City FC | 28c | 8,404$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.12 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 8,142$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.76 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Southampton FC | 72c | 2,809$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.52 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Coventry City FC | 27c | 2,436$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.02 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Coventry City FC | 25c | 1,057$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.21 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Coventry City FC | 21c | 376.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Southampton FC | 72c | 332.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Coventry City FC | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Coventry City FC | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Coventry City FC | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Southampton FC | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Coventry City FC | 29c | 161.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Coventry City FC | 27c | 120.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd2…ea98backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 101$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Coventry City FC | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Coventry City FC | 25c | 82.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Coventry City FC | 28c | 71.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Coventry City FC | 24c | 62.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Coventry City FC | 29c | 53.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Coventry City FC | 27c | 47.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Southampton FC | 70c | 46.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…34a6backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 39.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…fe59backed Southampton FC | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…4aadbacked Southampton FC | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +330.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Southampton FC | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Southampton FC | 69c | 28.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Southampton FC | 74c | 23.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…7b2dbacked Southampton FC | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Southampton FC | 72c | 21.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…a1c0backed Southampton FC | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9e…94e7backed Southampton FC | 73c | 16.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…7605backed Southampton FC | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5286…1b4cbacked Southampton FC | 74c | 13.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.