TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3101…a1c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Spread: 76ers (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.28
Nets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.29
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.89
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-63.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.98
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.64
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.99
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)backed Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.42
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+80.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+224.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+224.7%+$33.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.