Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ef8323193ded8cf5f54bad711a61fb9f2b29588f2663d126d0174e5fabbe054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Louisville Cardinals, Michigan State Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,537,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,915,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,537,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 745 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Michigan State Spartans | 66c | 632,647$414,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217,802.36 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 334,486$218,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,688.19 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13c…a202backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 309,547$108,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,341.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Louisville Cardinals | 30c | 279,260$84,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,390.38 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 121,824$79,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,396.63 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Louisville Cardinals | 38c | 117,800$44,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,764 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 99,793$31,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,484.67 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 99,204$64,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,721.31 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 90,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 90,000$29,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,999.99 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 5c | 82,686$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.74 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisville Cardinals | 24c | 78,164$18,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,764.19 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 70,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 19c | 69,810$13,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,311.65 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 69,443$45,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,304.92 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…f694backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 68,278$23,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,557.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 63,459$21,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,372.24 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 62,515$48,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,823.45 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 59,934$13,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,094.74 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 59,775$40,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,830.38 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…0425backed Louisville Cardinals | 26c | 50,944$12,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,992.67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 49,928$10,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,685.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisville Cardinals | 1c | 49,863$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.57 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Louisville Cardinals | 33c | 49,613$16,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,372.31 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…8179backed Louisville Cardinals | 25c | 45,829$11,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,297.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 44,807$27,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,026.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Louisville Cardinals | 20c | 42,084$8,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,591.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…b6d3backed Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 39,936$25,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,977.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 38,420$13,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,446.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Louisville Cardinals | 7c | 37,267$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.08 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 36,484$23,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,769.26 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 34,718$11,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,109.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Louisville Cardinals | 23c | 32,333$7,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,276.25 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe836…d337backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 32,133$11,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,246.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Michigan State Spartans | 72c | 28,454$20,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,944.52 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed Louisville Cardinals | 16c | 25,242$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 25,000$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 24,167$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.89 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 23,632$7,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Michigan State Spartans | 80c | 23,242$18,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720.59 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Louisville Cardinals | 2c | 22,772$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.56 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Louisville Cardinals | 11c | 21,491$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Louisville Cardinals | 2c | 20,682$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.27 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Louisville Cardinals | 16c | 20,251$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.58 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 19,889$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.14 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Michigan State Spartans | 65c | 19,841$12,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,944.26 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Louisville Cardinals | 10c | 19,160$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Michigan State Spartans | 71c | 18,370$13,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260.72 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Michigan State Spartans | 64c | 16,465$10,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,896.11 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…b7f8backed Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 16,308$5,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,544.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Louisville Cardinals | 1c | 16,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Louisville Cardinals | 2c | 15,356$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.24 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 15,072$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.23 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Louisville Cardinals | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Louisville Cardinals | 33c | 14,940$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 14,883$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.93 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Michigan State Spartans | 68c | 13,843$9,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.82 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Louisville Cardinals | 8c | 13,276$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.47 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 12,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisville Cardinals | 19c | 11,512$2,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.71 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…079fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 10,821$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.41 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Louisville Cardinals | 16c | 10,673$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Louisville Cardinals | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 21c | 9,958$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Louisville Cardinals | 22c | 9,940$2,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.79 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Michigan State Spartans | 64c | 9,938$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.65 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Michigan State Spartans | 64c | 9,919$6,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 6c | 9,662$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 9,608$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.48 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Louisville Cardinals | 30c | 8,985$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.29 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 36c | 8,635$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.91 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 8,100$2,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 8,074$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.7 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Louisville Cardinals | 32c | 8,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…b984backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 7,937$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.64 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Louisville Cardinals | 19c | 7,798$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.42 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705b…1e47backed Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 7,590$5,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Louisville Cardinals | 18c | 7,499$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.77 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 7,491$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.78 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Louisville Cardinals | 37c | 7,214$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.77 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Louisville Cardinals | 9c | 7,106$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.59 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 7,000$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Louisville Cardinals | 36c | 6,932$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.47 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…96a8backed Michigan State Spartans | 67c | 6,512$4,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Louisville Cardinals | 37c | 6,306$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.83 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 34c | 6,123$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.64 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 36c | 5,985$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…2127backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 5,870$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d9…484dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 5,870$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…a4c3backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 5,830$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Louisville Cardinals | 35c | 5,403$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.18 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansthis page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 146.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 149.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)Louisville Cardinals won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-6.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-7.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-8.5)Louisville Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.