Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c51e9f1317dbe5b08d940da57afc2b1a90a79618f0ddba55e95fe5095b8fe4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan State Spartansof Michigan State Spartans, Louisville Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $841,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $841,839 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 143,808$71,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,489.07 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Michigan State Spartans | 47c | 86,132$40,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,650.16 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 77,909$40,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,178.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 73,256$38,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,825.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 68,954$33,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,856.2 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 48,075$24,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,036.61 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 28,099$14,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,070.88 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 20,357$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,382.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 11,664$5,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,948.51 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 10,556$5,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313.76 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 9,352$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.41 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.22 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 6,017$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 6,016$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.09 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 4,437$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195.36 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 3,516$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 3,334$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.67 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 3,304$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.02 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 2,698$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.89 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 2,197$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 2,113$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 1,620$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.01 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 1,239$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.32 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…1953backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 990$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 954.29$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.23 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 953.13$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 796.5$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.18 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 633.92$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.15 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Louisville Cardinals | 45c | 502$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 50c | 396.5$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 356.13$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Michigan State Spartans | 48c | 334$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 303.44$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.76 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…2a05backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 283.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 204.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 190.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 179.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534c…70f1backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 137.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Louisville Cardinals | 48c | 132.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 126.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Michigan State Spartans | 78c | 117.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 101.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…34f3backed Louisville Cardinals | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 94.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Michigan State Spartans | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 79.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 65.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100d…1baabacked Michigan State Spartans | 62c | 63.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Louisville Cardinals | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Louisville Cardinals | 46c | 59.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Louisville Cardinals | 59c | 54.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 51.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 51.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Louisville Cardinals | 49c | 50.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 48.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 40.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +6.0wins | +0.43per pick | 50cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…3834backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 38.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 38.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…b8eabacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 38.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.9wins | -0.45per pick | 54cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x82d7…9900backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Louisville Cardinals | 41c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…da61backed Louisville Cardinals | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 51c | 28.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…380bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Louisville Cardinals | 43c | 27.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 27.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 24.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…bcbdbacked Louisville Cardinals | 53c | 22.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 55cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 19.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)this page
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State SpartansMichigan State Spartans won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 145.5Over won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 146.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 147.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 149.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 150.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5Under won
- Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-10.5)Louisville Cardinals won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-4.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-6.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-7.5)Michigan State Spartans won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-8.5)Louisville Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.