TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2155…f351

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.15
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.49
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$89.44
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.4
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.69
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.47
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.47
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.22
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-5.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.47
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-12.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,321.5
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$589.65
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$182.56
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.72
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.95
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$264.84
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.86
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.91
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-30.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+29%+$122.72
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-9.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$74.79
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.48
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.48
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-28.5)backed Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.95
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$101.94
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-10.5)backed High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$57.14
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$96.56
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$175.36
Lakers vs. Magic: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$335.72
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Lakers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.5%+$117.76
Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$168.14
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$126.39
76ers vs. Kingsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$224.13
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.16
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$66.25
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$237.3
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$77.27
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$82.78
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$150
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,422.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.28
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$48.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$790.4
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$181.01
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$112.22
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$126.72
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$52.27
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$102.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$70.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.71
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$34.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Keys vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Krueger (+1.5)backed Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.