TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof MOUZ, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,471,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,471,950 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked MOUZ56c187,132$104,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,842.613265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed MOUZ7c117,320$8,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,172.3922049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked MOUZ0c111,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1113315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked 9z12c85,639$10,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,362.6783652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed MOUZ78c59,486$46,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,154.413135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ30c58,349$17,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,586.793,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed 9z37c34,662$12,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,925.414537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked MOUZ75c30,000$22,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,50076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 9z74c28,001$20,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,273.683,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked 9z67c25,249$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.133036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed MOUZ11c18,333$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.1424544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked 9z73c17,706$13,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.13762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed 9z10c17,337$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,608.8611633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed MOUZ72c14,988$10,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,723.1310551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb7b…ed88backed 9z33c12,852$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,651.792860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed 9z10c11,760$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,58422142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked MOUZ35c10,944$3,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.8648319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe677…44c5backed MOUZ1c10,521$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.971010%1 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick22cpaid-82.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 9z25c10,200$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,64564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed 9z26c10,022$2,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,376.375450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed 9z57c9,800$5,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,22153746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed 9z10c9,609$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,612.4597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed 9z59c9,543$5,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,890.052,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed 9z8c9,500$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,709.9730340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z12c8,750$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,656.811,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 9z69c7,891$5,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.692,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed 9z74c7,783$5,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.410361.2%63 W · 40 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked MOUZ65c6,880$4,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed 9z69c6,505$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.8810663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed MOUZ73c6,283$4,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,604.6812649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 9z13c6,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.9614934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed 9z25c5,400$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.0116152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 9z45c5,219$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.7167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed 9z25c5,000$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,75036645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed MOUZ19c4,802$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.0742142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked MOUZ18c4,789$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.3530726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed MOUZ57c4,740$2,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,701.5633043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ73c4,402$3,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,214.5271645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed MOUZ72c4,268$3,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,092.185261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed 9z64c4,086$2,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.6226549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf131…36f7backed 9z25c4,029$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.621369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+66.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed 9z10c4,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60025147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked 9z58c3,951$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.4239249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ce…100fbacked MOUZ7c3,779$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.289753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8442…9df5backed MOUZ59c3,707$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.36175.4%46 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed MOUZ27c3,707$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed 9z28c3,611$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.132263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed MOUZ69c3,514$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed MOUZ30c3,495$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.556716.4%11 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed MOUZ31c3,418$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.1824346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ46c3,414$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.496,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed 9z11c3,317$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.5136742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed MOUZ30c3,300$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.76245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed MOUZ60c3,205$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.5413453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed 9z59c3,199$1,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,307.0513546.7%63 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked 9z14c3,194$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.4419834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed MOUZ1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30300%0 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked 9z12c3,000$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.7743640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ51c2,912$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.7932930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ42c2,869$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20037646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed MOUZ19c2,869$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed 9z12c2,800$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.12650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5783…a338backed 9z8c2,713$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.27714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick25cpaid+71.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked 9z28c2,709$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,936.7414046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked 9z42c2,673$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.3354346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked MOUZ30c2,669$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.794645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ31c2,613$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.6839248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked 9z35c2,561$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.6849745.9%228 W · 269 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked 9z38c2,556$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.6648948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb406…07c3backed 9z27c2,491$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+165.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5d…11d5backed 9z9c2,410$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.462347.8%11 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick23cpaid+110.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked MOUZ1c2,392$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.462626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked 9z8c2,282$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.8121939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked MOUZ17c2,201$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3771752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed 9z72c2,195$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.638868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed 9z55c2,150$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.3714362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z12c2,100$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8485,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfa…190bbacked 9z24c2,035$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+117.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed 9z8c2,027$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.1543933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed 9z38c2,022$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.7246843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed MOUZ31c2,000$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.3257358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed 9z11c2,000$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7808951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed MOUZ49c1,973$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.25520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-74.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed MOUZ16c1,881$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9648437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked MOUZ23c1,875$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.191533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed 9z11c1,818$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.0232344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed MOUZ23c1,781$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.4629831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ17c1,702$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.643,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed MOUZ36c1,682$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8138552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed 9z12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.9424429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed MOUZ2c1,620$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6110347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed 9z10c1,620$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45817847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked MOUZ59c1,605$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.6623145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c53…0d37backed MOUZ74c1,600$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.81050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed 9z35c1,562$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.413444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked 9z11c1,557$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.641,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed 9z14c1,518$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.6225934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ29c1,517$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.85,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed 9z11c1,509$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.963630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked 9z11c1,500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,33523932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.