TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0b9…0edd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$719Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,172.99
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.19
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.1
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$257.42
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs MOUZ NXT (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group Abacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$854.84
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,362.9
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,911Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,988.94
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,594Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$955.28
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$894
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$160.71
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,617.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,996Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,995.75
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,964.79
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,186.53
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.27
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,257.84
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.51
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,978.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,140.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$812.79
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$887Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.54
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$456.3
Grizzlies vs. Hawksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.99
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.92
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.44
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,228.5
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,632Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,282.6
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.52
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,717
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.84
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,643Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$463.31
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,970Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,530
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,032
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$2,747.25
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,921Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$1,029.72
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,634Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,183.35
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.54
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+66%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,434.69
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$2,416.74
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,947Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+333.2%+$6,487.64
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+379.6%+$5,050.06
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$208.2
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$551Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$193.44
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$2,050
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,798Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+263.1%+$7,361.49
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$754Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$753.6
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.75
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.37
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$147.25
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,258.79
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,050
All 16 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+46.5%+$208.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,277.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: paiN Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$593.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.