TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Team Falcons, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$690,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,577 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons48c23,081$11,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,193.693,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed FURIA49c21,917$10,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,275.6323839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Team Falcons54c19,986$10,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,692.5372453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons54c17,000$9,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,170.921048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons52c14,624$7,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,602.683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb7b…ed88backed FURIA47c12,766$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,766.152860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA48c12,750$6,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,657.3276058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA46c11,000$5,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,939.9919757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons33c9,869$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,304.4667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61fe…0956backed FURIA54c8,565$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.8710663.2%67 W · 39 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FURIA66c7,883$5,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.252,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked FURIA56c6,649$3,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95421939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked Team Falcons38c6,633$2,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,507.542955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA46c5,351$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,865.5975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons54c5,319$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.8546949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x394e…450fbacked Team Falcons57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked FURIA47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.976848.5%33 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons53c4,700$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.916152.8%85 W · 76 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed FURIA65c4,605$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.2419949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons54c4,000$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.2622761.7%140 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed FURIA45c3,912$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.2797040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA64c3,434$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.8844957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed FURIA47c3,164$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.8224346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA47c3,095$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.8322927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Team Falcons32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96024943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed FURIA60c2,952$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.034045%18 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed FURIA59c2,774$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.233452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a09…daf2backed Team Falcons42c2,766$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.262540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed FURIA46c2,612$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.2317538.3%67 W · 108 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Team Falcons23c2,610$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.348437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA53c2,528$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.841,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons52c2,508$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.8825555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed FURIA61c2,502$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.1457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8da…d918backed Team Falcons26c2,475$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked FURIA57c2,474$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.789258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA69c2,449$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.6478963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA46c2,376$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,293.326,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Falcons61c2,154$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.946952.2%36 W · 33 L-9.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Team Falcons32c2,118$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA58c2,086$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.072,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons51c2,080$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.829046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA45c2,049$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.6588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Falcons48c2,000$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.6726549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed FURIA44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1206243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99011638.8%45 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed FURIA43c1,937$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.965543.6%24 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed FURIA52c1,924$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.5320838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed FURIA50c1,915$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.3539248.7%191 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed FURIA38c1,896$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.182955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA46c1,876$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.041,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253c…b9ddbacked FURIA47c1,825$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Team Falcons49c1,800$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87616149.1%79 W · 82 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Team Falcons41c1,799$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73847738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Team Falcons42c1,730$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.9511644.8%52 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed FURIA48c1,671$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.846345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed Team Falcons57c1,630$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.97851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Falcons66c1,619$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.361,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…d1e5backed Team Falcons62c1,603$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons18c1,601$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.1837646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Team Falcons51c1,560$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.619247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Team Falcons25c1,500$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b9…0eddbacked FURIA40c1,490$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8944645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA47c1,436$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.143,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked FURIA46c1,378$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.1410251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Team Falcons33c1,351$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.285641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Team Falcons56c1,334$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Team Falcons53c1,314$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.3817850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA48c1,313$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.5464552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed FURIA47c1,304$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.3111240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed FURIA51c1,300$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.54555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons47c1,274$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.6241260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fd…8002backed Team Falcons33c1,225$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.113950.4%70 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed Team Falcons32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3846248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61214847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…fec8backed Team Falcons54c1,176$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.471540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Team Falcons69c1,160$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80013453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked FURIA72c1,156$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.7114555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed FURIA44c1,110$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.312941.1%53 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed FURIA48c1,089$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.0124544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Falcons64c1,086$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons52c1,039$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.4629235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Team Falcons24c1,021$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.934219%8 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA46c1,001$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.5478639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5106245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FURIA55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed FURIA46c991.98$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked FURIA38c989.72$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.8743237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c4…f0a4backed FURIA51c984.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.4513937.4%52 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ad8…075abacked FURIA76c952.72$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons30c948.71$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.562,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons55c909.75$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa359…4387backed FURIA55c906.81$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.812133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons30c901.1$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.351,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons45c898.75$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.41,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed FURIA39c871.18$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.9729831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70d8…5d64backed FURIA46c869.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5712452.4%65 W · 59 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Team Falcons31c859.98$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9912446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e9e…d936backed Team Falcons51c850.34$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.