TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b75…f8fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,844.08
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,051Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+112%+$2,297.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,571Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$3,966.01
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,369Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,368.85
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,507.54
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$3,283.11
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,732Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+45%+$1,678.53
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$4,159.34
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,584
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,997.39
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,870Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,474.26
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$34.63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,839Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+228.2%+$4,196.28
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,042.1
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,297Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$829.21
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$3,120
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,311.75
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,071Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$1,216.01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,324.59
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,319.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,555Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+165.8%+$2,578.16
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$900
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,872
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,479.83
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,383Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,439.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,534Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,974.97
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,821Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,402.85
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,599.63
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,600
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,002.42
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,374.03
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,500
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,660Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,340
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,195.07
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,086Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,086.4
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,819.96
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,239.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$61.09
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$813.99
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$593.03
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$511.16
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,765Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,764.71
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$894.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,746
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,960Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+69.7%+$2,062.65
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$415.8
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,527.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,400
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+93.5%+$435
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,772Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,771.95
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,844.2
LoL: Cloud9 vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,859Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+25.2%+$468.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,044.72
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+121.2%+$1,290.77
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$549.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,171.69
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,575Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,575
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$780
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,603.86
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$808.15
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,037Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.5%+$1,008.65
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$961Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,041.56
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$637.04
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,465Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.8%+$1,534.89
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,891Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$974.12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$404.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.