Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed7973f57eee38040b50bbf6a39d249716335477abf5aa2271243fd60beb9320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,776 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Falcons | 60c | 34,145$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 24,268$9,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,628.88 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 39c | 20,000$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,200.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Falcons | 28c | 12,850$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.05 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 61c | 9,800$5,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,985.44 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Falcons | 62c | 9,431$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.13 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Yandex | 55c | 6,946$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.38 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Team Yandex | 54c | 6,038$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.33 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex | 39c | 6,000$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.53 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8d…a233backed Team Yandex | 41c | 4,200$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa895…debfbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 4,200$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 3,847$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.83 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Team Falcons | 34c | 3,725$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Falcons | 39c | 3,559$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.93 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…f8fabacked Team Falcons | 53c | 3,429$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Yandex | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 2,989$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.41 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Team Yandex | 68c | 2,956$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.91 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex | 40c | 2,830$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.28 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 67c | 2,663$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.26 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons | 12c | 2,361$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Yandex | 46c | 2,100$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.54 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Yandex | 72c | 2,000$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.07 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 46c | 1,857$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.98 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 1,526$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.53 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 58c | 1,450$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Team Falcons | 2c | 1,321$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,224$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.68 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Team Yandex | 44c | 1,217$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Falcons | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 1,064$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Falcons | 9c | 899.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Team Falcons | 62c | 884.11$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.15 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…b149backed Team Falcons | 5c | 799.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Falcons | 62c | 799.16$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.48 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 58c | 739.18$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.17 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…6f25backed Team Falcons | 7c | 694.73$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 680$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 675.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 60c | 611.15$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.27 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Falcons | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Team Yandex | 42c | 596.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 78c | 593.27$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons | 11c | 534.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Falcons | 23c | 506.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.94 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Yandex | 40c | 505.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.01 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Yandex | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…3539backed Team Yandex | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Falcons | 6c | 499.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Team Falcons | 10c | 499.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 488.31$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 486.8$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 478.26$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.22 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Falcons | 50c | 430.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.32 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 54c | 429.07$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.57 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 38c | 427.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed Team Yandex | 64c | 427.65$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 28c | 423.78$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Yandex | 48c | 416.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.36 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Team Falcons | 61c | 404.19$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.52 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 402$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.16 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Team Yandex | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Team Yandex | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Team Falcons | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Team Falcons | 12c | 399.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Yandex | 71c | 392.97$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 376.69$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…020dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 315.92$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Falcons | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Team Yandex | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Yandex | 51c | 280.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Team Yandex | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Falcons | 34c | 223.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Yandex | 40c | 208.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Yandex | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…e9a0backed Team Falcons | 52c | 199.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Yandex | 80c | 199.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Yandex | 62c | 196$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Yandex | 52c | 192.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Yandex | 50c | 180.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Team Yandex | 41c | 175$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 173.48$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Team Falcons | 18c | 167.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Falcons | 31c | 158.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Falcons | 25c | 157.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…23dbbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 153.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Yandex | 57c | 153.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851e…d153backed Team Falcons | 58c | 152.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Team Falcons | 58c | 152.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 152.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…50a5backed Team Falcons | 58c | 145.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…e589backed Team Falcons | 58c | 145.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Team Yandex | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Team Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.