TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe375…dadf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT12948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 129 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+92.4%+$301.66
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$268.99
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.76
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+173.1%+$257.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.86
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$165.35
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.85
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$286.57
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$327
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.63
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$167.82
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$176.15
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$236.64
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$159.64
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+208.6%+$432.28
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
Showing 25 of 129 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.2%+$39.21
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+76.4%+$763.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,454Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.2%+$2,791.44
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.8%+$501.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$2,121.45
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gil Vicente FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+69.5%+$42.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,427Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+48.8%+$696.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Iva Jovicbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,476Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+46.5%+$686.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,650
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$154
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.