TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$635,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,386 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid56c49,554$27,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,682.6855157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex50c38,678$19,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,506.6654556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Team Yandex53c25,524$13,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,473.5714253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Yandex54c17,500$9,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,429.973154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex45c13,300$5,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,928.862,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid45c12,242$5,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,708.8532854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid51c10,649$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,248.796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid44c10,453$4,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,809.2922643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex49c10,212$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.4622842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex56c10,098$5,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,654.6213441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid50c10,000$4,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,007.1516147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Team Liquid48c10,000$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,212.156043.3%26 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid43c9,517$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,424.4936041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid62c9,402$5,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.2471454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Yandex44c7,485$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.3416050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex42c6,407$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69153451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid42c6,206$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,598.3341242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed Team Yandex59c6,199$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.733435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid44c5,711$2,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.2451751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex28c5,676$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.4817353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex27c5,127$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.771,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc41…475ebacked Team Yandex40c4,996$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Team Yandex45c4,804$2,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Yandex57c4,386$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex42c4,225$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,784.2945139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team Yandex22c4,041$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.019636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Liquid50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00020159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid47c3,898$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.759153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid45c3,279$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.125549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid45c3,240$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Yandex48c3,158$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,519.5733041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Liquid44c3,148$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.3912156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Liquid54c3,130$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.1838653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Team Yandex57c3,105$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid74c3,104$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid44c2,750$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.7777941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid48c2,739$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.721,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…022fbacked Team Yandex38c2,673$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.791513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-81%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc3e…6774backed Team Yandex57c2,576$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4803336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Yandex35c2,553$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.6615457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team Liquid46c2,440$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.594658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid51c2,379$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.7720156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid47c2,377$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.5742650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Liquid54c2,105$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.8615650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe491…ccd1backed Team Liquid54c2,077$1,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.62650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Team Yandex54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Team Yandex50c1,840$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.811844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid58c1,813$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.8811549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid76c1,798$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.7738855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf257…ba86backed Team Liquid54c1,768$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.172157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid51c1,750$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.3736547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Team Yandex43c1,749$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.677955.7%44 W · 35 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid44c1,700$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95158744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Team Liquid45c1,533$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.319447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid75c1,476$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.5677458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Yandex52c1,434$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.2212642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Team Yandex49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6863060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf657…f8d0backed Team Yandex54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d1…2bb3backed Team Yandex45c1,370$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.117248.3%83 W · 89 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Team Yandex60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80026454.5%144 W · 120 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Team Liquid49c1,299$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.948439.3%33 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex49c1,223$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex42c1,209$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.9379959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Liquid77c1,192$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3115051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Liquid62c1,167$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.8646649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid40c1,152$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.3699844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Team Liquid78c1,116$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0512966.7%86 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Team Yandex45c1,108$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.361457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc904…fe82backed Team Yandex40c1,100$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.212835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid75c1,098$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.3418075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Liquid68c1,085$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4520350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid74c1,082$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0334443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Team Yandex57c1,061$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.7622727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Team Liquid53c1,048$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.3311960.5%72 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Yandex55c1,016$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.6816142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid76c1,015$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.5936851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Yandex16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Team Yandex1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4af…7dc0backed Team Yandex10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex69c1,000$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.9539660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ad…6e72backed Team Liquid45c994.21$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cc…fb16backed Team Yandex57c988$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.16425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Liquid58c962.6$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.0516550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Liquid44c959.36$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.216237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Team Yandex18c941.62$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4910645.3%48 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Liquid78c932.79$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.198458.3%49 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9329160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff2…c7c9backed Team Yandex48c923.23$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.153070%21 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79ac…9c87backed Team Yandex40c909.04$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.598040%32 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Team Liquid64c900$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0417454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Liquid46c897.69$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.7564744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Team Yandex52c817.68$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42510456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc327…c72abacked Team Liquid75c810.62$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4311753%62 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid57c800$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.5332951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7424…ce06backed Team Yandex55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex37c799.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed Team Yandex34c796$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.42035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid46c760.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.871,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.