TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$518,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,350 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid51c55,930$28,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,338.3455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex55c39,778$21,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,886.7254556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Team Yandex49c27,286$13,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,797.996852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Yandex72c24,526$17,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,836.3271454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Liquid45c15,093$6,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,791.685549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Liquid37c11,626$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.3612156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team Liquid47c10,181$4,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.944658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Yandex50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0003154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9813441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid47c9,649$4,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,541.2432854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid47c7,839$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,684.4522643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Liquid13c7,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Liquid48c6,881$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30822842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid45c6,800$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,060.1136041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex62c6,606$4,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.3435758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Liquid1c5,909$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2212642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex49c5,696$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.9253451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid41c5,402$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Liquid7c5,019$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4813020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Team Liquid51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.983951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Team Yandex50c4,856$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.019447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid26c4,641$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9296557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked Team Yandex79c4,321$3,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.0611960.5%72 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid18c3,814$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.681,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Team Yandex75c3,800$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95015457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid34c3,688$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.8177941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed Team Yandex55c3,636$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.363435.3%12 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex59c3,568$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.712,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Yandex53c3,300$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.9618362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid32c3,296$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.061,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd67…d632backed Team Liquid36c3,171$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.68333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4109153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked Team Yandex74c2,710$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.377550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Yandex78c2,637$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.6118661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe491…ccd1backed Team Yandex57c2,563$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.752650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid34c2,533$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8651,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid36c2,531$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.042,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid52c2,500$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Yandex70c2,338$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.4438855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Team Yandex50c2,242$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.7722954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid51c2,210$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.2520156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid30c2,109$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.839636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid33c2,094$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.121,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Team Yandex50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex49c1,994$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.3736547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Team Yandex55c1,914$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.281844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Liquid53c1,873$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.198845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Yandex65c1,859$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.3448539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed Team Yandex55c1,824$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.882161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex73c1,674$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.939660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Team Yandex68c1,601$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.271631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Team Liquid6c1,548$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3517353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex51c1,523$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.8560552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid26c1,461$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.9441242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…6774backed Team Yandex62c1,460$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.513336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Team Yandex49c1,400$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7143060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Yandex54c1,396$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.0164744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex61c1,359$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.0346649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid43c1,293$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.7658744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex67c1,249$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.1679959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Yandex57c1,203$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.8315051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Yandex54c1,182$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.723740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Liquid16c1,150$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2355147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex50c1,095$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.3551751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e32…6e95backed Team Liquid12c1,088$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.524717%8 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Liquid36c1,000$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35924251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4af…7dc0backed Team Liquid10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Yandex54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4607955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Team Liquid16c999.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16013027.7%36 W · 94 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Yandex55c956.16$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.6857455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1c6…d2d6backed Team Yandex52c946.18$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.58445.2%38 W · 46 L-9.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Team Liquid54c919.48$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c29…fb0bbacked Team Yandex72c889.44$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.599953.5%53 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Team Yandex49c879.51$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.514533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Team Yandex58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0712459.7%74 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Team Yandex70c857.93$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6514253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid36c848.67$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0866662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c57…47aabacked Team Liquid52c823.42$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.854544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7424…ce06backed Team Liquid52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedce…412ebacked Team Liquid10c800$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794719.1%9 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Liquid2c800$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.237018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Team Liquid34c756.79$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.336237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Team Yandex67c752.1$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8518745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Team Yandex54c749.97$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9922727.3%62 W · 165 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex55c727.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.491,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid52c700.06$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.038060%48 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Liquid52c700$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36438653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Team Liquid52c688.29$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.7415452.6%81 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid51c681.21$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.8311549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Team Liquid25c650.05$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.6912252.5%64 W · 58 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Team Yandex70c647.43$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.4315064.7%97 W · 53 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid37c631.53$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.881,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid31c622.04$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.972,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Team Yandex55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27013138.9%51 W · 80 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a4…bf13backed Team Liquid37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-62.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c20…41b3backed Team Liquid9c600$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5217323.1%40 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Liquid51c587.63$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8516550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Team Yandex72c550$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.528544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Team Yandex58c550$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23261548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.