TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e32…6e95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT4717%8 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LiXO eSports vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked LiXO eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Dota 2: Astini+5 vs LiXO eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group Abacked LiXO eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$209.27
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.52
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.96
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.8
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$110.98
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.98
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$246.2
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.9
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.2
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.25
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Dota 2: Heroic vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+1,105.3%+$156.43
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,086.56
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100.05
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+93.5%+$62.79
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+200%+$48
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+233.3%+$70
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$38.4
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$118.81
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$72.3
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$22.52
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$34.5
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Sacred Heart Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.8%+$32.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ASB Classic: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jakub Mensikbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.