TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,277,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,560,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,277,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers53c400,304$210,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210,504.354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Knicks47c175,500$82,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,479.8451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ae…3020backed 76ers53c120,237$64,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,245.762951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks57c100,537$56,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,539.531,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed 76ers46c82,899$38,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,041.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Knicks51c78,053$39,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,278.0543148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Knicks52c60,538$31,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,058.19857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Knicks48c55,000$26,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,85019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks50c53,932$26,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,136.272,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Knicks48c43,216$20,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,514.351,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks55c37,010$20,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,585.9140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Knicks74c36,200$26,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,398.8219388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed 76ers52c35,889$18,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,821.0622457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks48c35,223$16,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,475.479,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Knicks49c31,114$15,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,867.965534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Knicks49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,299.979043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked 76ers52c30,000$15,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,699.9610236.3%37 W · 65 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked 76ers34c30,000$10,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,049.961,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked 76ers51c27,136$13,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,81510746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Knicks48c26,000$12,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,629.9519747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed 76ers52c25,000$12,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,95019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks70c24,146$17,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,141.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed 76ers51c21,957$11,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,117.4510459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed 76ers48c20,800$9,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,98459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers24c20,000$4,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,774.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed 76ers48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.9821549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks51c19,858$10,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,677.62,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks49c19,641$9,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,079.32,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks48c18,826$9,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,773.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed 76ers12c17,100$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.130845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers51c16,558$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks49c16,089$7,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,282.881,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks49c15,990$7,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,208.781,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks50c15,829$7,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,970.992,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers41c15,285$6,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,215.291,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers24c14,642$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.331,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed 76ers49c14,019$6,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,930.2323747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked 76ers18c13,692$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010158.4%59 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Knicks48c12,984$6,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,751.576651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks60c12,915$7,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.443,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7791…af80backed 76ers52c12,264$6,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,415.967441.9%31 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Knicks50c12,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,00024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked 76ers51c12,000$6,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,179.9835251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks74c11,939$8,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.754,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f1…a137backed 76ers5c11,602$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.722441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Knicks50c11,110$5,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.5536741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9331…4b41backed Knicks50c11,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5004245.2%19 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a79…a442backed 76ers46c10,870$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007062.9%44 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Knicks49c10,837$5,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,526.7213455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed 76ers52c10,450$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.9759646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Knicks50c10,129$5,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,064.9529055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed 76ers50c10,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Knicks51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9006454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed 76ers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked 76ers48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Knicks50c10,000$5,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.9915740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked 76ers51c10,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.9731445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed 76ers52c9,999$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.4515247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Knicks51c9,804$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,803.9222458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked 76ers28c9,261$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,631.553946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed 76ers49c9,139$4,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,478.3319136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed 76ers0c9,098$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.78820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Knicks50c8,939$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,469.716863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks48c8,892$4,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,612.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked 76ers51c8,060$4,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,110.5917348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Knicks48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,16046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Knicks50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,00013355.6%74 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Knicks64c7,917$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.4285344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Knicks51c7,780$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.252352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed 76ers7c7,780$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.3983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Knicks72c7,728$5,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.8739744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb84a…055dbacked Knicks46c7,400$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9963759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f4d…2771backed 76ers52c7,400$3,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,847.931560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked 76ers35c7,162$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.983520%7 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked 76ers19c7,111$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35950838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed 76ers50c7,001$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.513148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Knicks49c7,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.9914055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked 76ers14c6,988$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.3248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked 76ers51c6,767$3,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,451.1713239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x10df…a5cbbacked 76ers45c6,727$3,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,002.045630.4%17 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed 76ers48c6,561$3,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,151.2835747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed 76ers60c6,460$3,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,875.7352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Knicks79c6,336$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.4636247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked 76ers25c6,195$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56967921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked 76ers26c6,112$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60020249.5%100 W · 102 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Knicks50c6,035$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.4338253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Knicks48c6,033$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,137.1625546.7%119 W · 136 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Knicks50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00028742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed 76ers51c6,000$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0305455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Knicks48c5,998$2,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.0927758.8%163 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Knicks64c5,983$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.8414751%75 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Knicks46c5,402$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.9411737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24a…7133backed Knicks50c5,204$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a14…fddabacked 76ers59c5,083$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Knicks46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70014243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Knicks48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…2276backed 76ers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.961353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef0…299abacked Knicks51c4,880$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1067…d709backed 76ers49c4,870$2,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked 76ers35c4,825$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.