TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6fd…f43e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
254
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 107 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$4,462.58
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,431.23
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,900
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,291
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$5,296Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,296
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,989Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$4,427.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,611.2
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,559.6
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+151.8%+$5,301.49
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,063.88
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,704Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,703.59
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,257.68
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,093.13
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$263.65
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,709Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,709.28
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,202.88
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$579
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,341Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,364.63
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,045
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,700
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,987Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,987
Showing 25 of 107 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT5259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$548
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,274Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,274
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$956Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$586.05
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$157.58
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,052Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$731.09
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$649.38
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$410.59
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,857.53
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,096.36
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$1,969.26
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$239.06
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$941.38
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$1,366.64
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,857Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,138.32
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.39
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$44.28
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.79
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.68
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$78.91
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$108.15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$65.35
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.12
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.96
Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$587
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritzbacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$160.13
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$494.61
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$514.84
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$318.65
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$469.84
National Bank Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
Hagen: Alex Barrena vs Timofey Skatovbacked Alex Barrena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$348.94
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Boitanbacked Gabi Boitan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$250.74
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Fares Zakaria vs Daniil Glinkabacked Fares Zakaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$793Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$793
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,846Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,846
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$415
San Marino: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Timofey Skatovbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$445.59
Samsun: Koki Matsuda vs Gabriel Debrubacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,988Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$1,414.83
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,053Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,052.97
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,887Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$1,155.08
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,503
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,090
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs Koki Matsudabacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.81
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$655.67
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$924
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$2,936.51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,776Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.8%+$3,334.18
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$4,090.91
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$988
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$9,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$5,577.42
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,693Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$8,693
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12,821
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,690Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+70.7%+$1,900.92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$2,955
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,761Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$9,207.97
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$138,688Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$138,688
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10,924Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10,924.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$49,928
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.69
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,321.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.1
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$160.34
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$881.76
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,387
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$974.4
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,484
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,532.79
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,612Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,548.78
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,093Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,093
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20,300
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+150.3%+$8,093.91
Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$3,376
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16,651Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13,082.93
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,370Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15,728.04
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34,862Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$27,391.57
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22,845Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+52.8%+$12,052.09
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10,000
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13,980
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$54,034
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84,834Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$56,556
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+223.9%+$92,677.85
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20,651Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20,651
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+114.8%+$34,602.35
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14,142.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+36.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19,330Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11,847.42
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,908.56
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$7,895
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,694Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+185.5%+$12,420.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$437.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.