MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b870ef0a2d042fd9cd5d8a50cbaf692d858cbf95fa50b2ab09a8dffc2dab10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,690,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,748,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,690,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 453,446$171,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282,039.56 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 389,746$185,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204,074.9 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 266,056$156,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,266.69 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 256,625$148,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,869.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 250,168$129,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,187.56 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 220,230$114,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,519.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 80,460$38,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,839.2 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 74,940$33,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,217.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 40,472$19,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,640.53 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 32,186$15,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,228.68 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 30,377$16,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,193.54 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 25,026$13,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,332 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 17,132$8,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,750.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04f…d000backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 16,667$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,666.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 16,036$7,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,988.64 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 16,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 15,775$7,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,203 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 15,755$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 14,255$6,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,713.84 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 13,791$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 11,324$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,781.45 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 9,782$5,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,853.75 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 9,515$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.65 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 8,510$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.41 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Chicago Cubs | 41c | 8,400$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,956 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.94 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 7,382$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 7,237$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.27 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 6,272$3,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 6,207$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 5,997$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.31 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 4,545$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.17 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 3,937$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.01 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,907$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.64 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Chicago Cubs | 44c | 3,618$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.51 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 3,396$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.47 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 3,211$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.71 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…5e12backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,878$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.03 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 2,875$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.25 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,579$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.26 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,404$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.69 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 2,362$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.1 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 2,345$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.4 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,340$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,256$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.58 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…2978backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,109$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.09 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d8…fb80backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,877$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,876$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 1,806$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,663$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.76 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,613$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.54 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,581$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.54 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.76 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,476$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.62 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,377$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.85 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,363$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.99 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 1,319$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.04 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 1,312$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.21 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 1,274$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.06 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,245$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.72 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,170$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.4 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 1,160$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.21 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,024$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.34 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…5ce4backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 1,022$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,002$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 999.7$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.55 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 992.65$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.09 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 985.71$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.79 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 961.61$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.38 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 950$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 878.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 845$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.16 | 273 | 52%142 W · 131 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago Cubs | 48c | 822.25$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.57 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 781.25$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.25 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf844…ee3cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 772.67$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.74 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 761.99$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.75 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 680.27$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 673.16$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.45 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 644.32$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.92 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 622.68$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.08 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 606.89$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.