MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0dc3bb8ecc38645ed83e5d4237b423652e5428f22e437587153889c174d10ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 6,928$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,395.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 47c | 6,134$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.98 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 49c | 4,979$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.51 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed Over | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 3,301$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 52c | 3,133$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.02 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,128$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Under | 55c | 2,599$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.65 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 49c | 2,361$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.8 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 52c | 1,520$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.55 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…bb4ebacked Under | 51c | 1,435$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.26 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 1,377$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.42 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 48c | 1,166$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 50c | 996.53$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.09 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 73c | 937.65$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 886.31$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.53 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 791.74$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 54c | 643.47$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.22 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 40c | 597$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.81 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 76c | 527.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.79 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 501.93$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.02 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 457.88$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.94 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 52c | 380.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.98 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 5c | 340$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 5c | 322.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 49c | 313.75$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34e…c973backed Under | 53c | 310.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 54c | 287.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.04 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 59c | 272.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.65 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 53c | 255.91$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed Over | 19c | 247.37$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 60c | 245.08$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…a25cbacked Over | 40c | 245.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.15 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 53c | 190.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 53c | 142.6$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 137.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 131.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over | 48c | 128.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.73 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 121.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Under | 54c | 113.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 47c | 108.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 103.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 97.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 52c | 96.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 53c | 95.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Over | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 79.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 25c | 74.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 50c | 72.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93e4…0a36backed Over | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 70.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 54c | 68.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 61.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 49c | 59.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 56.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 65c | 54.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 28c | 50.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 53c | 47.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…6660backed Under | 54c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 49c | 39.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 77c | 38.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Over | 47c | 37.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Over | 50c | 36.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 45c | 31.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 48c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Under | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…6cedbacked Under | 54c | 26.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c34…b7adbacked Under | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.