TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe75c…bb4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 62 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$279.22
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$273.64
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$196.87
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$127.26
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$403
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$463.8
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$614.81
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$206.39
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$123.48
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$293
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$293.48
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$211.26
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$115.23
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.23per pick53cpaid+42.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals winning after 5 innings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.24
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$209.33
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$186.98
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$148.51
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$703.26
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$218.37
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$160.87
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$201.14
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,316.23
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$191.52
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$150.67
Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$278.63
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$173.64
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$220.28
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$244.64
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$96.48
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$158.74
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$213.61
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$619.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.