MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30fc482e9a834a122fa4aeb0e9d90b72621e9e9fff1ade8f3dd35399439d7f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,483,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,497,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,483,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 233,526$153,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,167.46 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 229,225$152,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,757.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees | 24c | 183,214$44,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,192.41 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…6e0abacked New York Yankees | 35c | 150,000$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,499.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 31c | 113,619$34,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,965.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked New York Yankees | 12c | 102,149$11,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,875.74 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 97,097$62,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,327.44 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 81,171$53,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,170.84 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees | 34c | 64,179$21,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,731.97 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 47,098$31,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,013.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 23c | 38,203$8,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,930.07 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Yankees | 35c | 34,471$12,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,064.88 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Yankees | 33c | 30,240$9,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,979.2 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 22,000$7,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,480 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed New York Yankees | 37c | 22,000$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 22,000$13,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,293.2 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked New York Yankees | 1c | 19,050$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.2 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked New York Yankees | 1c | 18,425$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 31c | 14,489$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 26c | 13,296$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees | 1c | 12,750$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.53 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 12,333$4,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,193.17 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -6.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 12,104$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.05 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 20c | 10,462$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Yankees | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed New York Yankees | 27c | 10,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 10,000$6,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.97 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed New York Yankees | 25c | 9,851$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed New York Yankees | 28c | 9,388$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed New York Yankees | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed New York Yankees | 35c | 7,500$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.99 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69de…62c4backed New York Yankees | 2c | 7,344$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed New York Yankees | 35c | 7,143$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 7,085$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.73 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed New York Yankees | 35c | 5,535$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.25 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 5,216$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 31c | 4,952$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…d013backed New York Yankees | 34c | 4,867$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Yankees | 34c | 4,617$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569.78 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees | 36c | 4,531$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.2 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 4,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 3,913$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.28 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 3,846$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.1 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Yankees | 0c | 3,800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 3,550$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.86 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…123bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 3,291$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 3,096$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.64 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed New York Yankees | 35c | 3,064$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.33 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 3,053$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.2 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Yankees | 33c | 3,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 2,734$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees | 35c | 2,710$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.21 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed New York Yankees | 4c | 2,605$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 2,364$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.64 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 19c | 2,295$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.81 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked New York Yankees | 26c | 2,177$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.09 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked New York Yankees | 35c | 2,000$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.94 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees | 35c | 1,964$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed New York Yankees | 3c | 1,937$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…f2d7backed New York Yankees | 35c | 1,848$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 1,701$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.08 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,536$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.35 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed New York Yankees | 18c | 1,455$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.44 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed New York Yankees | 5c | 1,427$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.25 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees | 13c | 1,381$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 1,316$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed New York Yankees | 20c | 1,303$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…3b87backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked New York Yankees | 8c | 1,296$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed New York Yankees | 39c | 1,293$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.36 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…f30abacked New York Yankees | 35c | 1,286$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed New York Yankees | 39c | 1,233$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.25 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Yankees | 34c | 1,169$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.58 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed New York Yankees | 4c | 1,138$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees | 8c | 1,116$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed New York Yankees | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Yankees | 27c | 1,041$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees | 37c | 1,024$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.88 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed New York Yankees | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked New York Yankees | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed New York Yankees | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked New York Yankees | 36c | 999.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…b645backed New York Yankees | 8c | 989.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked New York Yankees | 35c | 925.71$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 909.47$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.52 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked New York Yankees | 31c | 904.82$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.45 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 899.59$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.86 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…809cbacked New York Yankees | 10c | 848.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fd…4f20backed New York Yankees | 35c | 833.14$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 15.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 16.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-6.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.