TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof New York Yankees, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,483,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,497,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,483,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies66c233,526$153,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,167.461,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Philadelphia Phillies67c229,225$152,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,757.752352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees24c183,214$44,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,192.4185645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked New York Yankees35c150,000$52,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,499.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees31c113,619$34,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,965.824,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked New York Yankees12c102,149$11,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,875.746666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies65c97,097$62,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,327.4477053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Philadelphia Phillies65c81,171$53,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,170.848166.7%54 W · 27 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Yankees34c64,179$21,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,731.971,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Philadelphia Phillies66c47,098$31,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,013.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees23c38,203$8,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,930.0779442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Yankees35c34,471$12,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,064.8843554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Yankees33c30,240$9,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,979.277647.4%368 W · 408 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked New York Yankees34c22,000$7,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4803432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed New York Yankees37c22,000$8,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0404942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Philadelphia Phillies62c22,000$13,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,293.226054.2%141 W · 119 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked New York Yankees1c19,050$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.216725.1%42 W · 125 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked New York Yankees1c18,425$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed New York Yankees35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees31c14,489$4,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,556.564,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees26c13,296$3,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,504.3111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees1c12,750$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5382636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked New York Yankees34c12,333$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193.173630.6%11 W · 25 L-6.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked New York Yankees34c12,104$4,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.0526056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees20c10,462$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.124,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked New York Yankees33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30033852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed New York Yankees27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70018241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies65c10,000$6,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,464.9748952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed New York Yankees25c9,851$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed New York Yankees28c9,388$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed New York Yankees35c7,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62536246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed New York Yankees35c7,500$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.9912343.1%53 W · 70 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69de…62c4backed New York Yankees2c7,344$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+29.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed New York Yankees35c7,143$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies71c7,085$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.7323357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed New York Yankees35c5,535$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.2528042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies65c5,216$3,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.685,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd47d…322bbacked New York Yankees36c5,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80013552.6%71 W · 64 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees31c4,952$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5576,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf3a3…d013backed New York Yankees34c4,867$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked New York Yankees34c4,617$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.7821644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees36c4,531$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.21,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Philadelphia Phillies65c4,500$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57521242%89 W · 123 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees35c4,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies69c3,913$2,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.2869453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Philadelphia Phillies65c3,846$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.120455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked New York Yankees0c3,800$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies76c3,550$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.862,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3443…123bbacked Philadelphia Phillies76c3,291$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa90…c709backed Philadelphia Phillies66c3,096$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.646256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed New York Yankees35c3,064$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.337338.4%28 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Philadelphia Phillies66c3,053$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.228152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed New York Yankees33c3,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a72…17c0backed Philadelphia Phillies66c2,734$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees35c2,710$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.211,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed New York Yankees4c2,605$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies66c2,364$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.6434756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees19c2,295$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.812,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Philadelphia Phillies66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.7311150.5%56 W · 55 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked New York Yankees26c2,177$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.0911129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked New York Yankees36c2,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71032850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked New York Yankees35c2,000$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.9417150.3%86 W · 85 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees35c1,964$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.41,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed New York Yankees3c1,937$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.311,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b2…f2d7backed New York Yankees35c1,848$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies70c1,701$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.081,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies66c1,536$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.3522257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed New York Yankees18c1,455$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.4423146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74dd…df82backed New York Yankees5c1,427$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2512035%42 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed New York Yankees13c1,381$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4460043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5160…ac0bbacked Philadelphia Phillies71c1,316$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed New York Yankees20c1,303$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0716340.5%66 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd485…3b87backed Philadelphia Phillies66c1,300$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked New York Yankees8c1,296$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9914752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb68…4ef3backed New York Yankees39c1,293$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.365543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9465…f30abacked New York Yankees35c1,286$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Philadelphia Phillies65c1,250$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.515942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed New York Yankees39c1,233$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2544953.7%241 W · 208 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Yankees34c1,169$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5834942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed New York Yankees4c1,138$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees8c1,116$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8597944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed New York Yankees18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004139%16 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked New York Yankees27c1,041$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28147545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees37c1,024$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.882,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed New York Yankees25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25034650.9%176 W · 170 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Philadelphia Phillies61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905474.1%40 W · 14 L+9.7wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+31.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Philadelphia Phillies66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34011655.2%64 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked New York Yankees33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33016753.9%90 W · 77 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Yankees36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36030647.4%145 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed New York Yankees2c999.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207746.8%36 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked New York Yankees36c999.98$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9929046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…b645backed New York Yankees8c989.61$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked New York Yankees35c925.71$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3245350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Philadelphia Phillies75c909.47$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.524759.6%28 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked New York Yankees31c904.82$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.4530529.8%91 W · 214 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…227fbacked Philadelphia Phillies66c899.59$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.866656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60f8…809cbacked New York Yankees10c848.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9fd…4f20backed New York Yankees35c833.14$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.650%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Philadelphia Phillies61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.677160.6%43 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.