MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd8e94c6d947c9251d3a215ac21579e93513ffd092971ed2e2d5d0b1720cc249

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $244,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $243,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,164 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under	45c	174,952$79,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79,328.28	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over	53c	76,188$40,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,562.07	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over	55c	65,392$35,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,566.15	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	55c	64,637$35,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,152.78	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	55c	14,977$8,236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,740.45	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Under	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	45c	6,434$2,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,895.48	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under	45c	5,000$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,250	362	46.1%167 W · 195 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under	46c	5,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	260	54.2%141 W · 119 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under	45c	3,000$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360	644	52.2%336 W · 308 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under	46c	2,730$1,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,246.05	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over	54c	2,500$1,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	47c	2,460$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.7	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	56c	1,827$1,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.52	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	28c	1,576$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441.34	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	45c	1,374$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620.28	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under	45c	1,250$563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.5	877	50.4%442 W · 435 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under	47c	1,164$543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.22	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5a…2e90backed Under	46c	1,087$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed Over	55c	1,067$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.99	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.2wins	-0.25per pick	49cpaid	-50%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over	55c	901.49$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.53	360	48.6%175 W · 185 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	45c	848.89$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.35	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	53c	773.1$409 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.71	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under	31c	729.45$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.35	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	59c	700.62$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.97	475	45.9%218 W · 257 L	-13.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under	47c	319.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	432	47%203 W · 229 L	-19.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Under	44c	298$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.11	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under	49c	278.67$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.55	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	221	49.3%109 W · 112 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	45c	245$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.25	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over	50c	231.19$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.03	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	55c	221.42$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.64	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	372	56.5%210 W · 162 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over	55c	159.97$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.32	1,245	56.9%708 W · 537 L	+31.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	49c	144.9$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.9	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over	52c	116.61$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.61	310	52.6%163 W · 147 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under	43c	116.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	39.1%61 W · 95 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over	55c	110$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under	46c	109.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	442	45.5%201 W · 241 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	732	43.4%318 W · 414 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	44c	98.56$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.37	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under	48c	97.55$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.68	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	44c	95.09$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.84	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under	39c	94.48$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369e…d016backed Under	53c	94.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	115	60.9%70 W · 45 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	25c	91.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.73	1,814	49.1%891 W · 923 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over	54c	88.99$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.94	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Under	51c	81$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	45c	80$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.84	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under	45c	79.56$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.54	291	41.6%121 W · 170 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a0c…66f7backed Under	47c	78.72$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over	55c	67.74$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.48	1,195	50%597 W · 598 L	+5.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Under	46c	64.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	39.4%28 W · 43 L	-8.9wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1,804	53.8%970 W · 834 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Over	55c	57.5$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.87	195	55.9%109 W · 86 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over	75c	56.67$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.37	556	45.3%252 W · 304 L	-17.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under	29c	48.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.13	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under	49c	47.69$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.37	407	53.3%217 W · 190 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	24c	45.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over	55c	44.72$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.12	342	55.3%189 W · 153 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	54c	38.31$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Under	36c	32$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.52	135	54.8%74 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under	45c	31.21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	674	44.1%297 W · 377 L	+27.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over	54c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.8	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under	45c	29.97$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	348	46.8%163 W · 185 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Over	55c	29.09$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.09	289	48.1%139 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under	45c	27.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	172	55.8%96 W · 76 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Over	64c	26.44$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.52	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under	51c	22.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.71	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0882…dceabacked Under	49c	22.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Over	55c	22.36$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.06	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 12.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 13.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 15.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 16.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-5.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-6.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)New York Yankees won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event