TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$456,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$457,315

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $456,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under54c286,716$154,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154,759.71,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over46c215,850$99,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,5434,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed Over47c109,507$51,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,038.4848148.6%234 W · 247 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under53c42,600$22,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,57815651.3%80 W · 76 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over46c18,706$8,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,065.0111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c17,390$9,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,39510,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under53c12,587$6,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,674.162,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over46c8,782$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,742.283,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over46c6,989$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,773.9473650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Over46c6,555$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.77750.6%39 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c5,128$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,745.836,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65036246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Under53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65027253.7%146 W · 126 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under53c4,480$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.924,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5455…8b2abacked Under53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1202744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over46c3,271$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.831,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6639953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6639051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over46c2,048$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.922,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under53c2,002$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.9812452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08045451.3%233 W · 221 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over46c1,950$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0531,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over47c1,908$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.964,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over46c1,188$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.7815149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under55c1,107$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.918,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Under54c1,041$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5625747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…325bbacked Under57c1,035$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c850$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.51,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over44c836.87$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.868,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under53c725.52$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.5387850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Over42c723.56$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.6710031%31 W · 69 L-14.0wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-35%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c699.99$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.451,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under53c580.42$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.6264752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c569.59$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.585,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x428d…8cb6backed Under54c537.8$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.419753.6%52 W · 45 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under50c493.44$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.373,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under55c469$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.371,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c449.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.138,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over45c448.3$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.223,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under53c435.15$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.857053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over46c395.73$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over46c375.14$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.581,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under54c370.82$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0817243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a76…3c34backed Under50c350.16$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.082842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under52c345.72$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.771,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbac…38d0backed Over80c321.88$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.382867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under54c308.2$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.432,04439.5%808 W · 1,236 L-24.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under52c284.07$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.723,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf247…59f9backed Under54c257.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c244.46$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.453,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under54c235.47$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.651,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfee…0608backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.773234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x909a…e48cbacked Under53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.31060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Under54c209.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.956048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10431844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032656.7%185 W · 141 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…3c9fbacked Under54c185.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028147.7%134 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe453…0bb9backed Under53c180.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over67c172.86$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0437844.4%168 W · 210 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Under55c165.69$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9124149%118 W · 123 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda31…f8acbacked Under63c151.59$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-42.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under15c132.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under53c131.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7044845.8%205 W · 243 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa7…3767backed Over47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.664146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Over48c109.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7720945%94 W · 115 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under58c104.3$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8755645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5584651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over46c97.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.482,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016439%64 W · 100 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under50c92.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.452,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…65ffbacked Under54c91.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.55046%23 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1116355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under53c75.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Under54c73.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407139.4%28 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under55c71.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.371,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over46c64.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4934846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8374143.5%322 W · 419 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Under55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511350.4%57 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.840446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Under52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.282042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under53c59.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7148851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb3…b370backed Under55c57.16$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4419756.3%111 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cb4…b6e1backed Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014252.8%75 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under55c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4389548.3%432 W · 463 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.671,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Over47c47.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.611,27857%728 W · 550 L+33.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa96b…7d92backed Under56c46.43$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2619341.5%80 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…7f4dbacked Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2580%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Under54c46.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97643.4%33 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under54c42.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.998943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Over52c39.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.953557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd22…430ebacked Under54c36.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ae…61b5backed Under58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Over47c34.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2317550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a62…5247backed Over46c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3614047.9%67 W · 73 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.