TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x09da…56ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT11832.2%38 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Samsun: Takuya Kumasaka vs Florent Baxbacked Takuya Kumasaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.21
ITF W15 Astana 3 Women: Kira Bataikina vs Ekaterina Kuznetsovabacked Kira Bataikina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$62.22
ITF M15 Xativa Men: Nathan Walters vs Miguel Angel Machadobacked Nathan Walters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.87
ITF M15 Bali 2 Men: Asahi Harazaki vs Hikaru Shiraishibacked Hikaru Shiraishi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.8
Targu Mures: Alice Rame vs Julie Struplovabacked Julie Struplova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$341.22
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.92
Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstatbacked Zdenek Kolar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Aidan Mayo vs Roger Pascualbacked Roger Pascual · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Kennedy Drenser-Hagmannbacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$315.9
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$379.95
ITF Bali: Thanaphat Boosarawongse vs Ryuki Matsudabacked Thanaphat Boosarawongse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$592Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+219.2%+$1,297.52
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Nicolas Mejia vs Alex Hernandezbacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Edward Winterbacked Edward Winter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+283.3%+$611.93
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$594
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alan Magadan vs Garrett Johnsbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$357.38
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$308.32
ITF Segrate: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Martin Van Der Meerschenbacked Martin Van Der Meerschen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$206
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Julieta Pareja vs Polina Iatcenkobacked Polina Iatcenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.32
Zug: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Dylan Dietrich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$744.77
ITF Bacau: Tudor Batin vs Dragos Nicolae Cazacubacked Dragos Nicolae Cazacu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$295.84
ITF Bali: Sanhui Shin vs Alexander Changbacked Sanhui Shin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$462.85
ITF Bali: Isaac Becroft vs Hikaru Shiraishibacked Isaac Becroft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+400.4%+$536.54
ITF Champaign: Marko Miladinovic vs Alejandro Morenobacked Marko Miladinovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$703.38
ITF Vacaria: Luiza Fullana vs Pietra Rivolibacked Luiza Fullana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT5747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$562
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$662.79
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$196.71
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.99
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$381.82
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$313.28
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.13
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$305
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$201.2
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$123.8
MLB All-Star Gamebacked American League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Metsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$73.46
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.99
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$62.45
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.7
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.82
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.26
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.63
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$283.69
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bearsbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$99.52
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Miami Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
NBA Summer League: LA Clippers vs. Washington Wizardsbacked Washington Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.72
NBA Summer League: LA Lakers vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Indiana Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$394
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$220.53
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.56
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.52
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.22
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.51
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$54.3
Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$77
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.27
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.04
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$106.49
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.61
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$97.23
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$74.38
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$55.51
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. North Carolina Central Eaglesbacked North Carolina Central Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.75
Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Indiana Hoosiers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Baylor Bears vs. UCF Knights: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.76
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcatsbacked Kansas State Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.83
Providence Friars vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Providence Friars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$36.39
All 12 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+162.9%+$86.36
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+117.3%+$17.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SSC Napoli vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.