WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fb1005f6771473d3cf97ab6005dd3e7441833af43825b50b484346480fd43fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 1,300$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.09 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 57c | 1,055$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.85 | 369 | 50.9%188 W · 181 L | +16.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 63c | 953.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.41 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.93 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 580.88$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.97 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 52c | 529.52$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.65 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 507.78$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.81 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 53c | 500.8$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.38 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 62c | 400.68$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.42 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 77c | 396.74$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 322.79$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 37c | 295.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 252.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 31c | 200.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 52c | 180$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 64c | 156.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 41c | 155.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 75c | 145$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 46c | 118.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 43c | 102.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 76c | 101.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 56c | 88.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 86.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 60c | 67.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 66c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…638bbacked Over | 75c | 56.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Over | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 41c | 46.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 45.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 36c | 42.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 67c | 42.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Under | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 40c | 33.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Over | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 66c | 22.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…d308backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…50ffbacked Over | 70c | 15.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Over | 75c | 14.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5this page
- Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 173.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 176.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.