WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073dff8595a77e9208b883db9db9293272a34218e6ddd0b2cb00f953946f1fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 4,191$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.13 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 46c | 3,770$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.26 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 42c | 2,179$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.04 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 1,908$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.75 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 62c | 1,440$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.8 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 53c | 1,315$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.86 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…6f13backed Over | 59c | 746.54$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 740.17$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.01 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 69c | 582.37$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 468$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 57c | 444$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 72c | 400$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 50c | 331.07$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.54 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 41c | 312.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 43c | 275.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 51c | 253.73$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.74 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 41c | 249.32$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…6054backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 49c | 186$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.1 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 59c | 170.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 62c | 144.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.03 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 47c | 137.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 109.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 67c | 105.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 55c | 96.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 55c | 89.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 42c | 88.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 86.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 45c | 83.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 46c | 82.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 52c | 79.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 35c | 71.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 77c | 71.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Under | 47c | 53.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Under | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 59c | 40.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…888fbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 78c | 27.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Over | 57c | 27.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 79c | 22.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Over | 68c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 54c | 19.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Over | 68c | 15.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 173.5this page
- Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 176.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.