WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4767da1c17b02c486ba72bc649c02211e5c8935d610cbf419749cf87dea09ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 5,713$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.08 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 4,977$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…5032backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 4,469$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.25 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 4,400$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 3,037$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.96 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 1,726$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 1,164$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.44 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky | 40c | 994.29$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.2 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 968.82$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.47 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 770.2$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.3 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 687.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.2 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 673.87$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.45 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 474.34$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.68 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 400$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 346.99$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 341.11$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 241.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c354backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Connecticut Sun | 62c | 162.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…de1abacked Chicago Sky | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 147.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 129.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 99.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 83.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Connecticut Sun | 49c | 73.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 57.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 55.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a2…deacbacked Connecticut Sun | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 47.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 46.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 45.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Connecticut Sun | 47c | 40.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 38.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd238…ee03backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 37.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 29.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Connecticut Sun | 49c | 24.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Connecticut Sun | 65c | 15.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)this page
- Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 173.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 176.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.