WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aac17ae11738670550f24ae2b63b057e3eedbeb2746cd969d65c790bd98c066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 2,731$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.02 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fe…aac5backed Under | 55c | 1,692$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 1,542$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 999.89$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.18 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 652.54$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.47 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 50c | 573.92$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.56 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Over | 55c | 567.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 5c | 460$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 38c | 355.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 44c | 209.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 48c | 167.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 45c | 148.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 57c | 128.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Under | 78c | 127.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 43c | 123.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 65c | 116.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 112.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 61c | 98.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 45c | 94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 55c | 93.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 45c | 91.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.55 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 45c | 69.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Over | 47c | 63.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Over | 45c | 51.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…b9cfbacked Under | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Over | 38c | 42.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 45c | 33.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 55c | 31.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 62c | 28.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Over | 44c | 25.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 56c | 20.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 56c | 20.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…275abacked Under | 76c | 16.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5this page
- Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 173.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.