WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24ce963a8d120c0f69c7f07a41a23c014596ecb882024074b15f81530a2dc392

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Chicago Skyof Chicago Sky, Connecticut Sun
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,278 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun	46c	3,599$1,661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,661.48	1,611	50.2%809 W · 802 L	+37.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Chicago Sky	21c	2,331$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,830.63	71	59.2%42 W · 29 L	+5.7wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Sky	59c	2,169$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.71	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa406…bd18backed Chicago Sky	54c	1,119$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.32	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Chicago Sky	58c	1,015$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.51	76	55.3%42 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Chicago Sky	53c	962.4$510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.33	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Chicago Sky	50c	800$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.14	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Connecticut Sun	46c	687.88$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.42	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Connecticut Sun	68c	675.16$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.95	321	50.2%161 W · 160 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun	43c	639.33$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.01	1,765	51.7%912 W · 853 L	+53.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun	53c	550$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	851	58.4%497 W · 354 L	+70.2wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Connecticut Sun	39c	540.27$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.2	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-17.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Sky	62c	436$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.68	261	47.1%123 W · 138 L	+15.7wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Connecticut Sun	46c	327$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.14	386	50.3%194 W · 192 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun	47c	304.41$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.77	344	48%165 W · 179 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Connecticut Sun	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	91	56%51 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Connecticut Sun	44c	275.96$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.59	307	34.2%105 W · 202 L	-28.2wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Chicago Sky	56c	267.11$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.11	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun	45c	256$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	922	48.8%450 W · 472 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Chicago Sky	54c	248.81$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.45	194	46.4%90 W · 104 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun	47c	234.06$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.01	712	45.4%323 W · 389 L	-19.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Chicago Sky	62c	223$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.74	123	55.3%68 W · 55 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Chicago Sky	39c	216$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.28	367	50.7%186 W · 181 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Connecticut Sun	77c	200$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Connecticut Sun	46c	190.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.86	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-7.5wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky	54c	142.59$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.03	371	41.2%153 W · 218 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Connecticut Sun	78c	138.74$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.22	411	47%193 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Connecticut Sun	47c	110$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.7	285	58.6%167 W · 118 L	+20.0wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Connecticut Sun	61c	100.72$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.44	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Connecticut Sun	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Connecticut Sun	77c	98.17$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.59	376	50.3%189 W · 187 L	+8.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Connecticut Sun	41c	93.6$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.17	154	53.2%82 W · 72 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Connecticut Sun	46c	90.52$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.64	80	45%36 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Connecticut Sun	44c	89.68$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.61	246	56.5%139 W · 107 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Chicago Sky	60c	87.91$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.16	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Chicago Sky	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	68	61.8%42 W · 26 L	+6.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f94…a274backed Chicago Sky	23c	86.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.77per pick	23cpaid	+334%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Connecticut Sun	47c	84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.48	224	46%103 W · 121 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Connecticut Sun	49c	80$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Sky	62c	80$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.4	108	38.9%42 W · 66 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Chicago Sky	54c	80$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5181…504bbacked Connecticut Sun	38c	78.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.79	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked Connecticut Sun	44c	67.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.54	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Connecticut Sun	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun	43c	59.43$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	405	50.9%206 W · 199 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun	47c	57.58$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	995	48.1%479 W · 516 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Connecticut Sun	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	131	38.9%51 W · 80 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Connecticut Sun	46c	45.31$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.84	88	36.4%32 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dd…4ac7backed Connecticut Sun	46c	42.54$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun	46c	40.95$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	641	52%333 W · 308 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Connecticut Sun	40c	39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ac…7636backed Connecticut Sun	38c	38.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.58	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Connecticut Sun	53c	37$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	314	48.4%152 W · 162 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22cb…23dfbacked Chicago Sky	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Chicago Sky	57c	34$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.77	364	54.1%197 W · 167 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun	43c	32.72$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	411	45.7%188 W · 223 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Connecticut Sun	45c	29.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Connecticut Sun	43c	27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.73	239	55.2%132 W · 107 L	+12.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Connecticut Sun	61c	24.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	60cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Chicago Sky	54c	20.17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.28	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Connecticut Sun	77c	16$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.32	153	46.4%71 W · 82 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)this page
Azurá Stevens: Points O/U 13.5No won
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky won
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5Over won
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 173.5Over won
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 175.5Over won
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 176.5Over won
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5Over won
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Chicago Sky won
Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Chicago Sky won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Chicago Sky (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event