TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36ef…0172

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 63 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$12.09
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.33
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.37
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.4
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$43.53
Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.5
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.96
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.87
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.19
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.4
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.71
Spread: New York Yankees (-9.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$67.27
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+147.9%+$26.62
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.52
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$24.13
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.93
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$41.39
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Spread: Germany (-4.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+174.4%+$45.81
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.18
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 17 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.83
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.68
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$15.93
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+109%+$34.24
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.33
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlinbacked Jamie Mackenzie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.37
San Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteirobacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.68
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+57%+$19.37
Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusekbacked Julia Stusek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.82
Istanbul 2: Daria Khomutsianskaya vs Tatiana Prozorovabacked Tatiana Prozorova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.68
Lincoln: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Lincoln: Evan Zhu vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Evan Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+118.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-68.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$9.41
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.78
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.46
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.95
CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rhode Island Rams vs. George Washington Revolutionariesbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.